| 全国农村青少儿生长发育趋势的研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 许良.全国农村青少儿生长发育趋势的研究[J].体育科学,2005,25(9):38-40,52. |
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| 作者姓名： | 许良 |
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| 作者单位： | 陕西理工学院,基础部,陕西,汉中,723001 |
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| 摘 要： | 依据国家先后4次测试公布的全国乡村儿童青少年体质调研的原始数据,运用灰色系统理论GM(1,1)模型,建立农村青少儿生长发育预测期望值模型,预测未来10年农村青少儿的生长发育趋势。结果表明,未来10年我国农村青少儿生长发育有继续提前的趋势;生长发育仍处于“长期趋势”中的快速增长阶段;身体发展的匀称度将得到明显的改善。
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| 关 键 词： | 儿童 青少年 身高 体重 灰色预测 农村 中国 |
| 文章编号： | 1000-677X（2005）09-0038-03 |
| 收稿时间： | 2005-03-11 |
| 修稿时间： | 2005-03-112005-06-22 |
Research on Growth Trend of Junior in the Rural Areas in China |
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| XU Liang.Research on Growth Trend of Junior in the Rural Areas in China[J].China Sport Science,2005,25(9):38-40,52. |
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| Authors: | XU Liang |
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| Abstract: | Based on original data of physical investigation for junior conducted in the rural areas in China and using the Grey system theory GM(1,1),this paper set up the expect model for junior growth in the rural areas,predicted growth trend of junior in the future of 10 years.The result showed that the growth of junior in the rural areas was still in the trend of early grown-up and developed fast in long-term developing trend.The body shape was improved apparently. |
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| Keywords: | children junior height weight Grey prediction rural areas China |
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