| 我国女子田径运动成绩马尔可夫链及预测模型研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 何秋华,周建梅.我国女子田径运动成绩马尔可夫链及预测模型研究[J].中国体育科技,1998(5). |
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| 作者姓名： | 何秋华 周建梅 |
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| 作者单位： | 广东工业大学!广州，510090，武汉体育学院!武汉，430076 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文通过建立马尔可夫控运动成绩状态转移模型，从宏观上明晰了运动成绩的变化规律，并预测其后三年内运动成绩状态概率。研究结果可作为选拔运动员组队参赛的参考依据。
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| 关 键 词： | 女子田径 运动成绩转移概率 马尔可夫链 灰色预测 |
Study on the Malkof chain and Calculation Model for the Performanee of the Chinese Women Track and Field Events |
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| He Qiuhua.Study on the Malkof chain and Calculation Model for the Performanee of the Chinese Women Track and Field Events[J].China Sport Science and Technology,1998(5). |
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| Authors: | He Qiuhua |
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| Abstract: | By establishing Malkof Chain and calculation model,tbe paper analyses the changing law of the performance and calculates the probability of the sport performance within three years.The results can be used as the reference for selecting athletes. |
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| Keywords: | women track and field events transfer probobility of performance Malkof Chain grey calculation |
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