| 冬奥会竞技实力的格局分析--以GLM分析为例 |
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| 引用本文： | 周凯,岳风杉,汤立许.冬奥会竞技实力的格局分析--以GLM分析为例[J].湖北体育科技,2020(1):58-64. |
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| 作者姓名： | 周凯 岳风杉 汤立许 |
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| 作者单位： | ;1.华中师范大学第一附属中学;2.武汉体育学院 |
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| 摘 要： | 采用文献资料法、数理统计法、逻辑分析法,以前人涉足较少的冬奥会15个冬季项目为主要研究方向,对第18~23届冬奥会各个国家所获奖牌的数量、项目和奖牌积分进行分析,梳理强国排名,并对影响原因进行探究。研究表明:源生地、地形地势气候、国家政策、体育引导方式以及竞技迎战技巧对国家的冰雪综合实力均有影响。建议:加强立法为冰雪运动普及推广奠定坚实的基础;积极构建"金字塔"式的人才输送体系;建立实施新生运动力量的"新苗运动"计划;落实确立技术发展以先进高端的科研为主导,推进创建世界共赢的竞技发展基地等。旨在对我国冰雪事业的发展和备战2022北京冬奥提供思路。
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| 关 键 词： | 冬季项目 竞技实力 GLM分析 |
Pattern Analysis of Competitive Strength in Winter Olympics: A Case Study of GLM Analysis |
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| ZHOU Kai,YUE Fengshan,TANG Lixu.Pattern Analysis of Competitive Strength in Winter Olympics: A Case Study of GLM Analysis[J].Journal of Hubei Sports Science,2020(1):58-64. |
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| Authors: | ZHOU Kai YUE Fengshan TANG Lixu |
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| Institution: | (The First Affiliated High School of Central China Normal University,Wuhan Hubei,430223;Wuhan Sports University,Wuhan Hubei,430079) |
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| Abstract: | By using the methods of literature, mathematical statistics and logical analysis, the main research direction of the previous 15 Winter Olympics that few people involved in is to analyze the number of medals, events and medal points of each country in the 18th to 23rd Winter Olympics, sort out the ranking of powerful countries, and explore the reasons for the impact. The results show that the origin, topography, climate, national policy, sports guidance and competitive skills have an impact on the national comprehensive strength. Suggestions include strengthening legislation to lay a solid foundation for the popularization and promotion of ice and snow sports, actively building a "pyramid" type talent transportation system, establishing and implementing the "new seedling sports" plan of new sports forces, implementing and establishing technology development led by advanced high-end scientific research, and promoting the creation of a win-win competitive development base in the world, which aims to provide ideas for the development of China’s winter sports industry and the preparation for the 2022 Beijing Winter Olympics. |
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| Keywords: | winter sports competitive strength GLM analysis |
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