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2016年里约奥运会我国田径运动员竞技实力分析
引用本文:张可,刘琳,花义国.2016年里约奥运会我国田径运动员竞技实力分析[J].湖北体育科技,2016(9).
作者姓名:张可  刘琳  花义国
作者单位:1. 湖南理工学院体育学院,湖南 岳阳,414000;2. 岳阳市第十四中学,湖南 岳阳,414000
摘    要:采用文献资料、数理统计等方法对中国运动员在第23-30届共8届奥运会以及2006年以来参加历届世锦赛以及亚运会的成绩进行统计分析。通过对中国田径竞技实力项目的分析,预测在2016年里约热内卢奥运会上中国运动员的竞技实力与成绩。分析表明:当前,中国田径运动项目中男、女中长距离竞走,女子投掷、马拉松跑等为优势项目;男子110m栏竞技实力下降,待新人崛起;女子标枪和男子跳高项目竞技实力逐步显现,为潜优势项目;中国运动员在所有的47个田径比赛项目中,还有男女100m、200m、400m、800m、3 000m障碍跑、4×400m接力跑;男子400m栏、1 500m、5 000m、10 000m、马拉松;女子100m栏,女子跳远,男子投掷类项目没有运动员进入过前8名。2015年北京世锦赛中国男子跳远、标枪、撑杆跳高、100m跑,女子100m栏,男子4×100m等项目实现了历史性突破。探讨田径项目状况可以促进人们对田径竞技运动整体发展状况的了解、清晰田径运动不同分项间存在的异同性,可以为田径运动的综合管理提供思路、为田径运动提供制胜策略及训练理念。

关 键 词:中国田径  奥运会  实力展望

Competitive Strength Analysis of Chinese Track and Field Athletes in 2016 Rio Olympics
Abstract:By using the methods of literature , mathematical statistics and other methods of Chinese athletes in the 23rd to 30th eight Olympic track and field medals and since 2006 in previous World Championships and the Asian Games results were statistically analyzed. Based on the analysis of the distribution of Chinese track and field competitive strength , the prospect of the competitive strength and achievements of Chinese athletes in 2016 Rio De Janeiro Olympic Games was analyzed. Research shows that:at present , Chinese track and field project to men and women long distance race, women throwers, marathon running projects with strong competitive strength; the strength of men’s 110 meter hurdles competition decreased, the gradual recovery in the women’s javelin throw and the men’s high jump project competitive strength; men’s throwing events, the man in addition to the 110 meter hurdles and 4 ×100m run project, female short distance run 3000 meters obstacle running, long jump and other projects also no athletes entered the world championships before eight. By 2015, Beijing World Championships Chinese men’s long jump, javelin, pole vault, 100 meters run, the women’s 100 meter hurdles. The men’s 4 ×100m and project realized the historical breakthrough. The twists and turns of China’s competitive situation slow climb, have entered the strength of the top 8, but slow development, mainly in the women’s throwing and walking, and near 2 Olympic Games will man walking project be dart, the rise of the overall strength. To investigate competitive condition can promote people racing movement development situation understanding , clear racing the similarities and differences between different sports items , racing the comprehensive management ideas , for racing providing winning strategies and training philosophy.
Keywords:Chinese track and field  Olympics game  power outlook
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