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| 基于GM(1,1)的导弹备件需求预测 | |
| 引用本文： | 金天球,张向龙,程明.基于GM(1,1)的导弹备件需求预测[J].科技广场,2008(7). |
| 作者姓名： | 金天球 张向龙 程明 |
| 作者单位： | 1. 海军航空工程学院研究生管理大队,山东,烟台,264001 2. 海军驻绵阳地区特装军事代表室,四川,绵阳,621900 3. 海军驻南昌地区航空军事代表室,江西,南昌,330024 |
| 摘 要： | 导弹备件是平时保证导弹装备良好战备状态,战时保持和恢复装备战斗力的重要因素。但是其需求统计数据有限,样本严格服从某个典型概率分布的要求很难满足,用一般方法准确地预测很困难.故运用GH(1,1)预测指定时间的备件需求量,并通过一个具体实例验证了该模型的实用性。 |
| 关 键 词： | 备件 预测 GH(1，1)模型 |
Missile Spare Parts Demand Prediction Base on GM(1,1) |
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| Jin Tianqiu,Zhang Xianglong,Cheng Ming.Missile Spare Parts Demand Prediction Base on GM(1,1)[J].Science Mosaic,2008(7). | |
| Authors: | Jin Tianqiu Zhang Xianglong Cheng Ming |
| Abstract: | The spare parts of missiles is the important factor of pledging the good combat readiness of equipment in peacetime,keeping and recovering equipment' combat effectiveness in wartime.But the statistical data of its demand is limited,the requirement that sample is strictly obeying certain typical probability distribution is very difficult to moot,accurately prediction with the general method is very difficult,so the text uses the GM(1,1)to predict spare parts demand of the briefed time,and has verified the practicality of the model by a living example. |
| Keywords: | the Spare Parts Forecasting GM (1 1)Model |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ | |