| 产学研合作项目风险识别与评价研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 张美珍,杨乃定,张延禄.产学研合作项目风险识别与评价研究[J].科技管理研究,2019,39(12):196-203. |
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| 作者姓名： | 张美珍 杨乃定 张延禄 |
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| 作者单位： | 西北工业大学管理学院,陕西西安,710072;西北工业大学管理学院,陕西西安710072;西北工业大学应急管理研究所,陕西西安710072 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金资助项目“相继失效视角下基于风险传播模型的研发网络脆弱性研究”(71471146)；国家自然科学基金资助项目“相互关联研发网络上风险级联传播建模及控制方法研究”(71501158)；陕西省软科学研究计划面上项目“产学研合作项目风险识别与对策研究”(2017KRM024)。 |
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| 摘 要： | 针对合作中蕴含的各种风险导致我国产学研合作项目成功率较低的问题,基于项目生命周期视角,对产学研合作项目风险进行了识别,再结合一产学研合作项目算例,利用FMEA法对项目风险进行评价,并利用模糊数表示风险程度。接着,根据TOPSIS法对区间数进行排序,从而认识到项目风险的主次关系。结果表明,实施与控制阶段的风险是整个项目风险的主要来源,其次是定义与决策阶段,再次为完工与交付阶段,计划与组织阶段风险最小。各阶段也存在着风险优先数最大的子风险。最后参照风险评价结果就如何降低项目风险提出对策。
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| 关 键 词： | 产学研合作 风险识别 失效模式与影响分析 模糊逻辑 对策 |
| 收稿时间： | 2018/7/26 0:00:00 |
| 修稿时间： | 2018/10/11 0:00:00 |
Risk Identification and Evaluation of Industry-university-research Cooperation Project |
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| Zhang Meizhen,Yang Naiding,Zhang Yanlu.Risk Identification and Evaluation of Industry-university-research Cooperation Project[J].Science and Technology Management Research,2019,39(12):196-203. |
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| Authors: | Zhang Meizhen Yang Naiding Zhang Yanlu |
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| Institution: | (School of Management,Northwestern Polytechnic University;Emergency Management Institute of Northwestern Polytechnic University,Xi' an 710072,China) |
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| Abstract: | In view of the low success ratio of Industry-university-research Cooperation Project in China due to various risks involved in the cooperation, the risks of the cooperation project were identified from the perspective of project life cycle. Then, FMEA method was used to evaluate the project risks based on an example, and fuzzy number was used to denote the degree of risks. Then, TOPSIS method was used to sort the interval numbers, so as to realize the principal and secondary relationship of project risks. The results show that the risk of the implementation and control phase is the main source of the project risk, followed by the definition and decision-making stage, again, for completion and delivery period and planning stage with the smallest risk. Each stage also has the greatest risk priority number of sub-risks. Finally, some measures were put forward to reduce project risk according to the result of risk assessment. |
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| Keywords: | Industry-University-Research Cooperation Risk Identification FMEA Fuzzy logic Measure |
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