| 三方视角下PPP项目绩效的系统动力学建模与分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 薛朝改,周金库.三方视角下PPP项目绩效的系统动力学建模与分析[J].科技管理研究,2019,39(17):205-213. |
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| 作者姓名： | 薛朝改 周金库 |
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| 作者单位： | 郑州大学管理工程学院,河南郑州,450001;郑州大学管理工程学院,河南郑州,450001 |
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| 基金项目： | 河南省软科学研究项目“政府和社会资本合作(PPP)模式‘落地难’成因分析及对策研究”(172400410216)；河南省政府决策研究招标课题“河南省百城建设提质工程实施难点与对策研究”(2017B174)；国家自然科学基金项目“先进制造模式扩散的外部干预模型与机理研究”（71371173） |
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| 摘 要： | PPP项目绩效水平低下是困扰PPP项目推广应用的主要问题。为提高PPP项目绩效水平,从政府、社会公众、社会资本三方角度引入系统动力学方法,分析影响PPP项目绩效的主要因素,并设计4种方案进行仿真。仿真结果表明:政府方的影响因素对PPP项目绩效的影响最大,尤其是政府补贴和优惠政策的影响,其次为社会公众的特许价格和项目的服务质量水平,再者是社会资本合理的融资结构和运营管理水平。最后提出在综合考虑PPP项目绩效的影响因素时,应重点考虑政府方、社会公众、社会资本等核心利益方的影响,并从该三方视角提出提高PPP项目绩效的建议。
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| 关 键 词： | PPP 绩效 系统动力学 |
| 收稿时间： | 2018/8/13 0:00:00 |
| 修稿时间： | 2019/8/19 0:00:00 |
System Dynamics Modeling and Analysis of PPP Project Performance from Three-Party Perspective |
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| Xue Chaogai,Zhou Jinku.System Dynamics Modeling and Analysis of PPP Project Performance from Three-Party Perspective[J].Science and Technology Management Research,2019,39(17):205-213. |
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| Authors: | Xue Chaogai Zhou Jinku |
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| Institution: | (School of Management Engineering, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou 450001, China) |
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| Abstract: | The low performance level of PPP projects is the main problem that plagues the promotion and application of PPP projects. In order to improve the performance level of PPP projects, the system dynamics method was introduced to analyze the main influencing factors of PPP project financing performance from the perspective of the three parties, and four schemes were designed. The simulation results show that the influence factors of the government have the greatest impact on the performance of PPP projects, especially the impact of government subsidies and government preferential policies. Secondly, they are the impact of the public''s license price and the service quality level of the project on the performance of PPP projects; Furthermore, they are the impact of reasonable financing structure and operational management level of social capital on PPP performance. Finally, when considering the influencing factors of PPP projects, we should consider the influence of the core stakeholders such as the government, the public, and social capital, and propose reasonable suggestions for improving the performance of PPP projects from the perspective of the three parties. |
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| Keywords: | PPP performance system dynamics |
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