| 基于G-ANP方法的大型化工项目风险评价研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 安雪彤,杨育,贾建国,张峰,邢青松.基于G-ANP方法的大型化工项目风险评价研究[J].科技管理研究,2010,30(14). |
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| 作者姓名： | 安雪彤 杨育 贾建国 张峰 邢青松 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 重庆大学机械传动国家重点实验室,重庆,400044
2. 重庆大学机械传动国家重点实验室,重庆,400044;重庆化医控股(集团)公司,重庆,400010 |
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| 摘 要： | 大型化工项目建设周期较长、投资额大、技术性强,使得其项目风险多且复杂,因此,对大型化工项目风险进行评价并据此制定和实施合理的风险预防措施对项目的成功建设具有重要意义.依据风险来源构建大型化工项目风险评价指标体系,并在此基础上运用网络分析法与灰色评价法相结合的G-ANP方法对大型化工项目风险进行评价.该方法首先利用网络分析法(ANP)分析指标间的相互影响和相互作用,得到各指标权重;然后运用灰色评价法将分散的风险评价信息处理成一个描述不同灰类程度的评价向量,并对其进行单值化处理得到风险综合评价值;最后,通过某乙炔工程项目的应用实例,验证该方法的可行性与有效性.
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| 关 键 词： | 大型化工项目 风险评价 G-ANP方法 |
Research on Risk Evaluation of Large Chemical Project Based on G-ANP Method |
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| AN Xuetong,YANG Yu,JIA Jianguo,ZHANG Feng,XING Qingsong.Research on Risk Evaluation of Large Chemical Project Based on G-ANP Method[J].Science and Technology Management Research,2010,30(14). |
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| Authors: | AN Xuetong YANG Yu JIA Jianguo ZHANG Feng XING Qingsong |
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| Institution: | AN Xuetong1,YANG Yu1,JIA Jianguo1,2,ZHANG Feng1,XING Qingsong1 (1.State Key Laboratory of Mechanical Transmission,Chongqing University,Chongqing 400030,2.Chongqing Chemical & Pharmaceutical Holding (Group) Company,Chongqing 400010) |
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| Abstract: | The construction of large-scale chemical projects is usually time-consuming,costly and highly technical,which makes the project risks multiple and complex.So the evaluation of large-scale chemical project's risks and precautions accordingly is of great importance to the successful construction of projects.Based on the sources of risks,the paper builds an index evaluation system of large-scale chemical project risks,and evaluates them with G-ANP method combined with Analytic Network Process (ANP) and gray ev... |
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| Keywords: | large-scale chemical projects risk assessment G-ANP method |
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