| 基于系统动力学的应急管理知识系统建模与仿真 |
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| 引用本文： | 李春娟.基于系统动力学的应急管理知识系统建模与仿真[J].科技管理研究,2015(7). |
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| 作者姓名： | 李春娟 |
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| 作者单位： | 燕山大学经济管理学院,河北秦皇岛,066004 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金专项基金项目“灾害应急管理可视化多元信息系统设计与管理能力评价研究”(70841005)；河北省科学技术研究与发展计划软科学研究项目“河北省区域应急管理体系建设研究” |
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| 摘 要： | 突发公共事件发生前后伴随各类知识。结合系统科学理论界定应急管理知识系统,并分析系统中主要的知识活动。运用系统动力学方法构建以应急决策主体和应急参与主体构成的二元系统动力学模型,并采用Vensim PLE软件对系统模型进行仿真。从知识存量的角度分析主体间相互协作对应急决策以及应急系统知识存量的影响,是从知识视角对应急管理过程进行分析的有益尝试。
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| 关 键 词： | 应急管理 知识系统 系统动力学建模 仿真 Vensim |
| 收稿时间： | 2014/5/7 0:00:00 |
| 修稿时间： | 2015/3/10 0:00:00 |
Emergency Management Knowledge System Model and Simulation Based on the Modeling of System Dynamics |
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| LI Chunjuan.Emergency Management Knowledge System Model and Simulation Based on the Modeling of System Dynamics[J].Science and Technology Management Research,2015(7). |
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| Authors: | LI Chunjuan |
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| Abstract: | The process of emergencies is associated with kinds of knowledge. Combining with theory of system engineering, this paper defined the concept of knowledge system of emergency management and analyzed major knowledge actions. The paper applied the method of system dynamics to construct a system dynamics model concluding emergency decision-maker and participants, which can be simulated by Vensim PLE. From the perspective of knowledge stock, the analysis for the affect of decision-making and system knowledge stock through the collaboration of emergency organizations is a valuable attempt for the research of emergency process. |
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| Keywords: | emergency management knowledge system system dynamics model simulation Vensim |
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