| 产业发展对工程科技的需求分析方法与实践研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 庄芹芹.产业发展对工程科技的需求分析方法与实践研究[J].科技管理研究,2022(10):27-33. |
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| 作者姓名： | 庄芹芹 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国社会科学院数量经济与技术经济研究所 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金项目（面上项目,重点项目,重大项目） |
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| 摘 要： | 随着全球技术竞争加剧,面向产业发展需求科学预见工程科技的重点发展领域十分迫切。技术预见活动经历了从技术预测到技术预见的发展历程,从定性到定量再到综合分析的方法演变。通过归纳分析定性技术预见、定量技术预见、组合型技术预见、面向需求的技术预见的不同含义和具体方法,在总结各国技术预见方法与实践基础上,提出重点产业发展对工程科技需求研究的实施路径。技术预见活动要从经济社会发展愿景出发,结合国家重大战略导向,基于重点行业发展预测,运用多种定性定量方法,综合判断和识别重点产业发展的工程科技需求。
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| 关 键 词： | 技术预见 工程科技 德尔菲法 产业发展 需求分析 |
| 收稿时间： | 2021/10/30 0:00:00 |
| 修稿时间： | 2022/5/26 0:00:00 |
Research on the Analysis Method and Practice of Industry Development"s Demand for Engineering Science and Technology |
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| Abstract: | Engineering technology is an important support for the national industrial competitiveness, which is a key link in the transformation of scientific and technological achievements into actual productivity. With the intensification of global technological competition, especially the escalation of Sino-US trade friction to technological competition, it is urgent to predict the key development areas of engineering science and technology systematically. Technology foresight activities have experienced a development process from technology prediction to technology foresight, and the evolution from qualitative to quantitative to multiple methods. Based on summarizing the technology foresight methods and practices of various countries, an implementation path to analyze the development of key industries on engineering technology needs is put forward. It is necessary to proceed from the economic and social development vision, combined with the country"s major strategic guidance, based on key industry development forecasts, and use a variety of qualitative and quantitative methods to comprehensively judge and identify the engineering science and technology needs for the development of key industries. |
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| Keywords: | development of industry engineering science and technology technology foresight demand analysis |
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