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山西省入境旅游消费结构变动及对国民消费的拉动作用分析
引用本文:苏建军.山西省入境旅游消费结构变动及对国民消费的拉动作用分析[J].未来与发展,2012(2):109-113,89.
作者姓名:苏建军
作者单位:运城学院管理科学与工程研究所,山西运城,044000
基金项目:山西省重点扶持学科管理科学与工程学科建设项目
摘    要:利用2001-2010年入境旅游消费时间序列数据,采用旅游消费结构变动度、旅游消费弹性系数和旅游消费结构指数3个关键指标,分析了山西省入境旅游消费增长及其对国民消费的贡献。结果发现,山西省入境旅游消费结构指数总体上"先升-后降-再升"的格局,其中,入境旅游物质消费呈下降趋势,而非物质消费呈上升趋势;从入境旅游消费结构变动度看,各项旅游消费的结构变化较大,购物消费变动最大,住宿和交通消费次之,变动趋势最小的是娱乐消费;从入境旅游对国民经济的拉动作用看,入境旅游消费对国民经济的弹性系数超过1,入境旅游对国民经济增长的作用日益明显。其中,旅游购物消费对零售品消费的促进作用高于旅游餐饮消费对社会餐饮的促进作用。

关 键 词:入境旅游  结构变动度  消费弹性  消费结构指数

An Analysis on Effect of Inbound Tourism Consumption Growth for Pulling the National Consumption in Shanxi
SU Jian-jun.An Analysis on Effect of Inbound Tourism Consumption Growth for Pulling the National Consumption in Shanxi[J].Future and Development,2012(2):109-113,89.
Authors:SU Jian-jun
Institution:SU Jian-jun(Institute of Management Science and Engineering,Yuncheng University,Yuncheng Shanxi 044000,China)
Abstract:The time series data of the inbound tourism from 2000 to 2010 in Shanxi are used to analyze the effect of inbound tourism consumption growth and it’s pulling the national consumption by the elastic analysis,consumption structure index and consumption structure change trendy.The results show that: the overall level of the structure of inbound tourism consumption index is increased first,then dropped and increased.The basic consumption reduced and non-essential consumption has gradually increased.The biggest change of tourism consumption is shopping and the entertainment consumption level is lowest.The inbound tourism consumption elasticity coefficient is above one and the inbound tourism pulls the growth of national consumption significantly.Moreover,Shopping consumption contributes to the wholesale and retail trade more than the tourism accommodation and catering contributes to the social catering.
Keywords:inbound tourism  consumption structure change degree  consumption elasticity coefficient  consumption structure index  Shanxi Province
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