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政策诱导性产能过剩成因与对策研究
引用本文:乔为国,周娟.政策诱导性产能过剩成因与对策研究[J].未来与发展,2012,35(9):73-77.
作者姓名:乔为国  周娟
作者单位:1. 中国科学院科技政策与管理科学研究所,北京,100190
2. 对外经济贸易大学保险学院,北京,100029
基金项目:国家社会科学基金项目《“十二五”期间加快发展现代服务业实证调查与国际经验研究》(11CJY069)阶段性成果
摘    要:新兴产业发展对我国经济转型有重要意义,但却时常出现国家鼓励扶持的产业,很快以产能严重过剩收场,形成“扶持—过剩—抑制”的怪圈.本文分析了政策失灵的成因,是国家层面被误导的决策失误被地方政府放大,对企业形成扭曲的激励机制,造成政策诱导性产能过剩.规避政策失灵,需要改善决策机制,包括智囊独立、证据支持、政策评估等.最后探讨了合意产业政策内容,提出重点要构建商务和服务网络、产业领域聚焦、改善商业环境等.

关 键 词:产能过剩  政策诱导  决策机制  产业政策

Investigation into the Reason and Solution of over Capacity Induced by Government Policies
QIAO Wei-guo , ZHOU Juan.Investigation into the Reason and Solution of over Capacity Induced by Government Policies[J].Future and Development,2012,35(9):73-77.
Authors:QIAO Wei-guo  ZHOU Juan
Institution:1.Institute of Policy and Management of Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100109,China; 2.School of Insurance,University of International Business and Economics,Beijing 100029,China)
Abstract:Emerging industries are important for economic transformation.But the industries supported by the government policies often show over capacity soon.This paper analysis the reasons,and point out that misadvised decision blow up by local governments form distorted motivation for firms,resulted in over capacity induced by government policies.To avoid it,the decision making mechanism need to be improved,including independent think tank,evidence support and policy appraise.Finally the paper proposes that the reasonable policy content need to build knowledge support network,focus on narrow industry area and improve business environment.
Keywords:over capacity  government policy inducement  decision mechanism  industry policy
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