| 新常态下的中国经济转型——在阵痛中稳步前行 |
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| 引用本文： | 杨晓光,鲍勤.新常态下的中国经济转型——在阵痛中稳步前行[J].中国科学院院刊,2016,31(3):362-375. |
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| 作者姓名： | 杨晓光 鲍勤 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院 北京 100190,中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院 北京 100190 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家社科基金重大项目(15ZDA011),国家自然科学基金重点项目(71431008) |
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| 摘 要： | 当前中国经济正处于"三期叠加"、"三性叠加"和"三个转换"相互交织的新常态时期,经济增速放缓,且预期这一趋势将会持续,中国经济正经历转型阵痛。文章从经济的结构性指标入手展开分析,指出无论是产业结构、投资结构、消费结构还是外贸结构,都显示出中国正向着更加高效、更加可持续性的良性经济发展模式迈进,中国经济的转型之路已经在稳步行进之中。与此同时,当下中国面临的国际经济环境相对宽松,国内经济发展空间、经济治理政策和文化环境都积极向上,这些都有利于中国经济的顺利转型。为确保转型的成功,文章指出要在思想和政策上做好准备,坚定转型的大方向,确保政策的一致性,采取合适的措施解决产能过剩和债务杠杆问题,给社会和市场更多的自由和活力。
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| 关 键 词： | 经济转型 经济结构 产能过剩 |
| 收稿时间： | 2015/12/7 0:00:00 |
China's Economic Transition under the New Normal:Pain but Steady Proceed |
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| Yang Xiaoguang and Bao Qin.China's Economic Transition under the New Normal:Pain but Steady Proceed[J].Bulletin of the Chinese Academy of Sciences,2016,31(3):362-375. |
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| Authors: | Yang Xiaoguang and Bao Qin |
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| Institution: | Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China and Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China |
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| Abstract: | China is now in the stage of the New Normal, the economic growth rate decreased gradually, and this trend is expected to continue.The Chinese economy is now enduring great pain in its transition.In this paper, the structure of the economy is analyzed in detail, including the industry structure, the investment structure, the consumption structure, and the foreign trade structure.It reveals the fact that China is now heading towards a more efficient and more sustainable economic development mode on its transition road.Moreover, the global economic environment, and the domestic economic foundation, the domestic economic governance, and the domestic cultural environment are all favorable to China''s economic transition.In order to guarantee a smooth transition, some policy suggestions are proposed:To make a good psychological preparation for the pain of transition, to stick the direction of transition without hesitation, to make sure the consistency of the policies, to solve the overcapacity and high leverage of debt problems properly, and to release more freedom to the social institutions and market. |
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| Keywords: | economic transition economic structure over capacity |
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