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中国会不会走向“半个”工业化——对我国“减排”问题的若干战略思考
引用本文:何祚庥.中国会不会走向“半个”工业化——对我国“减排”问题的若干战略思考[J].中国科学院院刊,2010,25(3):324-334.
作者姓名:何祚庥
作者单位:中国科学院理论物理研究所,北京,100190
摘    要:文章对"到2020年中国的一次能源需求量是44亿吨标准煤"的预测值提出了质疑。为满足2020年能源需求,同时又要实现单位GDP减排40%—45%CO2的硬约束,必须采取超强措施大力发展水能、风能、太阳能等可再生能源,并提出了各项具体建议。

关 键 词:工业化  节能减排  水能  风能  太阳能

Will China Travel Half Way on the Road of Industrialization? --Some Strategic Considerations on the Issue of "Emission Reduction" in China
He Zuoxiu.Will China Travel Half Way on the Road of Industrialization? --Some Strategic Considerations on the Issue of "Emission Reduction" in China[J].Bulletin of the Chinese Academy of Sciences,2010,25(3):324-334.
Authors:He Zuoxiu
Institution:He Zuoxiu(Institute of Theoretical Physics,CAS 100190 Beijing)
Abstract:In this paper the author has raised a query on the predicted value that "the total energy consumption demand in China in 2020 is about 4.4 billion tons of standard coal." In fact,in order to meet the demand of energy of the whole country and at the same time to realize the hard constraint to reduce the CO2 emission per GDP by 40% to 45% starting from 2005 to 2020,super-strong measures must be adopted to energetically develop and use the renewable energy,such as the solar energy,the wind energy,the hydro energy,and the bio energy.Various concrete suggestions to develop all kinds of renewable energy are presented.
Keywords:industrialization  energy conservation and emission reduction  hydro energy  wind energy  solar energy
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