| 安徽省粮食产量的最优加权组合预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 毕守东,王冬平.安徽省粮食产量的最优加权组合预测[J].预测,2000,19(3):70-72. |
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| 作者姓名： | 毕守东 王冬平 |
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| 作者单位： | 安徽农业大学,安徽 合肥 230036 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文根据最优加权组合建模理论，利用安徽省１９８２～１９９７年粮食产量资料，建立了粮食产量的最优加权组合模型，该模型相对拟合误差小于４．４３％，依此模型对粮食总产量进行了预测，以期为安徽省的粮食生产提供科学依据。
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| 关 键 词： | 最优加权组合模型 安徽省 粮食产量 预测 |
| 文章编号： | 1003-5192(2000)03-0070-03 |
Forecast with Optimum Weighted Composition of Grain Production in Anhui Province |
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| BI Shou dong,WANG Dong ping.Forecast with Optimum Weighted Composition of Grain Production in Anhui Province[J].Forecasting,2000,19(3):70-72. |
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| Authors: | BI Shou dong WANG Dong ping |
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| Abstract: | Based on the theory of optimum weighted composition modelling and the data of grain production from 1982 to 1997, the optimum model has been established in this paper, whose average error is less than 4 43%. The model is used in forecast analysis of the natural tendency of development of Anhui's grain production, providing scientific basis for agricultural production in Anhui province. |
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| Keywords: | optimum weighted composition model Anhui province grain production |
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