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我国国防科研支出经济增长贡献定量分析
引用本文:毛飞,杨小庆,熊磊,何铁彦.我国国防科研支出经济增长贡献定量分析[J].预测,2003,22(1):57-60,49.
作者姓名:毛飞  杨小庆  熊磊  何铁彦
作者单位:中国人民解放军军事经济学院,研究生队,湖北,武汉,430035
摘    要:本文从分析国防科研支出促进经济增长的机理入手,修正了新古典经济增长模型,通过深入分解综合要素变化率提取出国防科技对经济增长的贡献值,并根据国防科研投入产出的分布延迟特征建立了国防科研支出对经济增长贡献的测算模型,利用该模型预测出1999年国防科研支出对2009年经济增长的贡献率。

关 键 词:经济增长  贡献率  国防科技  科研投入  中国
文章编号:1003-5192(2003)01-0057-04

Quantitative Analysis of the Contribution of National Defense Scientific Research Expenditure to Economic Increase
MAO Fei,YANG Xiao-qin,XIONG Lei,HE Tie-yan.Quantitative Analysis of the Contribution of National Defense Scientific Research Expenditure to Economic Increase[J].Forecasting,2003,22(1):57-60,49.
Authors:MAO Fei  YANG Xiao-qin  XIONG Lei  HE Tie-yan
Abstract:This dissertation analyses the mechanism of which NDSRE(national defense scientific research expenditure) accelerates the economic growth, and modifies the model of neoclassical economic growth. And it picks up the contribution ratio of economic growth from national defense science and technology, by the means of decompounding r(t) deeply. Therefore the contribution model of NDSRE to economic increase is built up according to the character of NDSRE. Such a method has been applied into the measuring and evaluating the contribution ratio of NDSRE in 1999 to economic increase in 2009.
Keywords:national defense scientific research expenditure  economic increase  contribution ratio  period  digital signals
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