R&D投入对中国经济的影响研究 |
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引用本文: | 王铮,郑钦月,王利赞,孙翊,杨源,田园,刘昌新.R&D投入对中国经济的影响研究[J].科学学研究,2018,36(10):1750-1757. |
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作者姓名: | 王铮 郑钦月 王利赞 孙翊 杨源 田园 刘昌新 |
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作者单位: | 1. 中国科学院科技政策与管理科学研究所
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3. 中国科学院战略咨询研究院 |
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摘 要: | 本文基于CGE模型对中国近年来积极的R&D投入对中国经济的短期影响进行了定量分析。模拟结果主要有以下几点发现:1)R&D投入能够显著地促进中国整体经济的发展;2)R&D投入对优化中国产业结构有着积极作用,即有利于中国经济由第二产业主导转变成第三产业主导,在第二产业中,R&D投入对建筑业的影响最大,对制造业的影响相对要小一点,而在第三产业中,R&D投入对房地产业、住宿和餐饮业基本没有影响;3)R&D投入能够明显地刺激内需,促进居民消费,而保持当前R&D投入强度有利于缩小城乡居民收入差距。
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收稿时间: | 2017-03-13 |
Research on the Impact of R&D Investment on China’s Economy |
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Abstract: | The paper makes a quantitative analysis of the short-term impact of China's positive R&D investment on China's economy in recent years, based on CGE model. The simulation results are mainly as follows: 1) R&D investment can significantly promote the development of China's overall economy; 2) R&D investment has a positive effect on optimizing China's industrial structure, which is conducive to the transformation of China's economy from the secondary industry to the tertiary industry. In the secondary industry, R&D investment has the greatest impact on the construction industry, and the impact on the manufacturing industry is relatively smaller. In the tertiary industry, R&D investment has little effect on the real estate, Hotels and catering industry. 3) R&D investment can significantly stimulate domestic demand, promote consumer spending, and maintaining the current R&D investment intensity helps to narrowing the income gap between urban and rural residents. |
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