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中国技术市场发展与经济增长关系的实证研究
引用本文:刘凤朝,潘雄锋.中国技术市场发展与经济增长关系的实证研究[J].科学学研究,2006,24(1):62-66.
作者姓名:刘凤朝  潘雄锋
作者单位:大连理工大学经济研究中心,辽宁,大连,116024
摘    要:本文以国家统计局发布的1987~2002年统计数据为基础,运用计量经济学中G ranger Causality因果关系检验法和回归分析法对中国经济增长与技术市场发展之间的关系进行了实证研究。结果表明:中国经济增长与技术市场发展之间不存在着明显的因果关系;1987~2002年间,技术市场发展对我国经济增长的贡献率约为15.80%,表明技术市场发展在一定程度上促进了我国经济的增长,但作用还不是很大。

关 键 词:经济增长  技术市场  因果关系检验  回归分析法  贡献率
文章编号:1003-2053(2006)01-0062-05
收稿时间:2005-04-12
修稿时间:2005-04-122005-08-29

Research on relationship between technical market development and economic growth
LIU Feng-chao,PAN Xiong-feng.Research on relationship between technical market development and economic growth[J].Studies in Science of Science,2006,24(1):62-66.
Authors:LIU Feng-chao  PAN Xiong-feng
Institution:Research Center of 21st Century Development, Dalian University of Technology, Dalian 116024,China
Abstract:Based on the data from 1952 to 2002 released by China Statistical Bureau,this paper analyzes the relationship between economic growth and technical market development by using granger causality test and regression analysis.After detailed research,some results have been concluded: the two way causality between economic growth and technical market development is not very clear;the contribution rate of technical market development to economic growth is about 24.23%,this fact shows that technical market development drives economic growth to a certain extent.
Keywords:economic growth  technical market development  granger causality  regression analysis  contribution rate
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