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中国沿海地区海陆产业系统时空耦合分析
引用本文:盖美,刘伟光,田成诗.中国沿海地区海陆产业系统时空耦合分析[J].资源科学,2013,35(5):966-976.
作者姓名:盖美  刘伟光  田成诗
作者单位:1. 辽宁师范大学海洋经济与可持续发展研究中心,大连,116029
2. 东北财经大学统计学院,大连,116025
基金项目:教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地项目(编号:11JJD790016);教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地项目(编号:11JJD790051)。
摘    要:海陆产业系统耦合协调发展,有利于推动沿海地区经济的和谐发展,为建设海洋强国奠定经济基础.通过阐释海陆产业系统耦合机理,构建耦合评价指标体系,运用关联度、耦合度模型从时间、空间两个层面探究系统耦合情势.研究表明:①海洋劳动生产率与陆域三产增加值关联程度最高;海洋劳动生产率、海洋二产增加值对陆域产业子系统的作用力最大,陆域三产增加值、陆域经济密度对海洋产业子系统的影响最强;效率和规模因素是系统耦合的主导因素;②研究期内我国沿海地区海陆产业系统总体上处于拮抗型耦合时期;子系统耦合度随时间的推移呈倒U型特征,对应耦合协调程度呈U型特征,耦合度和耦合协调程度负相关;③上海耦合协调发展程度最高,为我国海陆产业耦合协调发展先行建设区;天津、浙江、福建、辽宁、江苏、山东、广东居中,为重点建设区;广西、海南、河北最低,为后发优势建设区.依据分析结果提出相应调控对策:①搭建以海洋第二产业、陆域第三产业为中心的海陆一体化产业链体系,注重子系统效率和规模的提升;②遵循海陆产业系统耦合演进一般规律,发挥市场和宏观调控两种资源配置机制的协同作用;③按照各地域单元海陆产业系统耦合发展的相异性与相似性,施行区域分区调控.

关 键 词:海陆产业系统  时空耦合  关联度  耦合度  调控  沿海地区
修稿时间:2/5/2013 12:00:00 AM

Spatial-Temporal Coupling on Marine and Land Industrial Systems in Coastal Regions of China
GAI Mei,LIU Weiguang and TIAN Chengshi.Spatial-Temporal Coupling on Marine and Land Industrial Systems in Coastal Regions of China[J].Resources Science,2013,35(5):966-976.
Authors:GAI Mei  LIU Weiguang and TIAN Chengshi
Institution:Center for Marine Economy and Sustainable Development, Liaoning Normal University, Dalian 116029, China;Center for Marine Economy and Sustainable Development, Liaoning Normal University, Dalian 116029, China;College of Statistics, Dongbei University of Finance and Economics, Dalian 116025, China
Abstract:The coupling-coordinated development of marine and land industrial systems contributes to harmonious development of the economy in coastal regions of China,and provides an economic foundation for the construction of marine power. Based on the coupling mechanism of sub-systems,the coupling evaluation index system has been constructed. Data was derived from the China Marine Statistical Yearbook (2007-2011),China Statistical Yearbook (2002-2011), and coastal regions of China. Conclusions show significant interactive elements between sub-systems of marine and land industries at the level of individual indexes and systematic states. Marine labor productivity has the strongest relationship to land added value of the tertiary industry,and marine labor productivity and added value of the secondary industry have the most effect on the land industrial sub-system,and land added value of the tertiary industry and economic density on marine sub-system. Marine and land industrial systems in coastal regions are in the state of primary coordination under moderate intensity,and belong to the antagonistic coupling stage. The evolution of the coupling degree curve and coupling-coordinated curve comply with the inverted U-type and U-type law,and were negatively correlated. The 11 individual spatial units have been divided into three categories,which refer to leading construction areas including Shanghai,and the crucial constructional areas including Tianjin,Zhejiang,Fujian,Liaoning, Jiangsu,Shandong,and Guangdong. It is of great importance to build marine and land integrated industrial chains in which marine secondary industry and land tertiary industry are the core,and during this process subsystem efficiency and scale should be enhanced in order to accelerate the chains to evolve into industrial networks. Following the law of the evolution within marine and land industrial systems, the construction of integrated control mechanisms has the same significance for coupling systems. Government policies are used to compensate for market failure of market mechanisms that play a fundamental role in resources allocation. Zoning regulation methods on the basis of dissimilarity and similarity of coupling situation are also crucial for marine and land industrial coupling systems across Chinese coastal regions.
Keywords:Marine and land industrial systems  Spatial-temporal coupling  Control  Coastal regions  China
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