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精准扶贫背景下建档立卡脱贫户增收效果评估
引用本文:黄一诺,路之纤,佘可欣,李国平,刘慧迪.精准扶贫背景下建档立卡脱贫户增收效果评估[J].资源科学,2022,44(9):1891-1904.
作者姓名:黄一诺  路之纤  佘可欣  李国平  刘慧迪
作者单位:1.北京大学政府管理学院,北京 100871
2.北京大学现代农学院,北京 100871
3.北京大学国家发展研究院,北京 100871
基金项目:国家社会科学基金重大项目(19ZDA002)
摘    要:衡量精准扶贫政策实施效果,评估脱贫效果稳定性对“十四五”期间巩固脱贫攻坚成果有重要意义。本文基于2013—2020年四川省广元市3个县的精准扶贫数据库,采用事件研究法和倾向得分匹配-双重差分法评估了建档立卡户脱贫前后收入变化情况,并按来源分类对收入展开分析,探究收入增长的可持续性。研究发现:①贫困户的家庭收入水平在脱贫前一年迅速提升,脱贫后的收入总体保持平稳。其中工资性收入的提高最显著且具有可持续性,这主要源于当地“造血式”扶贫措施,包括推动就近务工和东西部就业扶贫协作、发展农业产业园区提供灵活就业机会等。②围绕不同的致贫原因进行异质性分析,发现因病、因残和因缺技术致贫家庭的工资性收入均在脱贫后得到了显著提升。因残疾和因缺技术而致贫的家庭的工资性收入在脱贫后得到了显著提升。本文的研究为评估脱贫动态效果提供了实证依据,对巩固脱贫攻坚成果、解决相对贫困问题具有重要的参考价值。

关 键 词:精准扶贫  增收效果  建档立卡脱贫户  事件研究法  倾向得分-双重差分法  异质性分析  四川省广元市  
收稿时间:2022-05-05
修稿时间:2022-08-27

Income-increasing effects of registered poor households in the context of targeted poverty alleviation
HUANG Yinuo,LU Zhixian,SHE Kexin,LI Guoping,LIU Huidi.Income-increasing effects of registered poor households in the context of targeted poverty alleviation[J].Resources Science,2022,44(9):1891-1904.
Authors:HUANG Yinuo  LU Zhixian  SHE Kexin  LI Guoping  LIU Huidi
Institution:1. School of Government, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China
2. School of Advanced Agricultural Sciences, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China
3. School of National Development, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China
Abstract:Based on the targeted poverty alleviation database of three counties in Guangyuan City of Sichuan Province, this study used the event study and the propensity score matching-difference in differences (PSM-DID) approach to evaluate the medium- and long-term income of the registered poor households after they are lifted out of poverty. We also combined field research to evaluate different types of poverty alleviation to analyze whether the income growth is sustainable. The study found that the household income level of poor households increased rapidly just before they were out of poverty, and the overall income remained stable after the poverty alleviation. The increase in wage income was the most significant and sustainable, which is mainly due to the local “hematopoietic” poverty alleviation measures, including the promotion of home area employment and the employment poverty alleviation cooperation between the eastern and the western regions, and the development of agricultural industrial parks to provide flexible employment opportunities. This study also conducted heterogeneity analysis around different causes of poverty, and we found that the wage income of families impoverished due to disability and lack of skills has been significantly improved after poverty alleviation, because the local governments provide flexible public welfare jobs for the disabled and targeted skills training for families lacking skills. This research provides an empirical support for evaluating the dynamic effect of targeted poverty alleviation policy, and has important reference value for consolidating the achievements of poverty alleviation and solving the problem of relative poverty.
Keywords:targeted poverty alleviation  income-increasing effects  registered poor households  event study  propensity score matching-difference in difference  heterogeneity analysis  Guangyuan City of Sichuan Province  
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