| 试论耕地占用与GDP增长的脱钩研究副标题用 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 陈百明,杜红亮,.试论耕地占用与GDP增长的脱钩研究副标题用[J].资源科学,2006,28(5):36-42. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 陈百明 杜红亮 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 1. 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所,北京,100101
2. 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所,北京,100101;中国科学院研究生院,北京,100039 |
| |
| 摘 要： | 我国人均耕地资源匮乏,耕地占用压力十分巨大,为深入分析和认识耕地占用与GDP增长的关系,可以应用Decoupling(脱钩)理论与分析方法,开展我国耕地占用与GDP增长的脱钩研究。其主要思路是在全面分析、对比和总结国内外不同GDP增长阶段耕地保护政策的基础上,建立基于DPR(驱动力-压力-响应)系统的耕地占用与GDP增长之间的脱钩指标体系,应用脱钩指标分析耕地占用和GDP增长之间的相互关系,在此基础上通过DPR(GDP增长驱动力-耕地占用压力-政策响应)系统,建立耕地占用与GDP增长脱钩的新型管理制度,最后应用上述框架模式,分别按省、地、县三级选取一些典型区域进行同尺度之间的实证分析,并进行跟踪分析,以验证耕地占用与GDP增长脱钩指标及相应的管理制度和政策的实施效果,揭示我国各类区域耕地占用与GDP增长的相互关系的典型模式,提升耕地保护研究
的理论水平与促进我国的耕地保护工作。
|
| 关 键 词： | 耕地占用 GDP增长 脱钩指标体系 管理制度 实证分析 |
| 文章编号： | 1007-7588（2006）05-0036-07 |
| 收稿时间： | 2006-03-22 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006-04-25 |
Analyzing Decoupling Relationship between Arable Land Occupation and GDP Growth |
| |
| CHEN Bai-ming and DU Hong liang.Analyzing Decoupling Relationship between Arable Land Occupation and GDP Growth[J].Resources Science,2006,28(5):36-42. |
| |
| Authors: | CHEN Bai-ming and DU Hong liang |
| |
| Abstract: | As a quantitative analysis tool,decoupling method was applied widely by OECD and its member countries since the 1980's.The method uses simple and quantificational mathematics models to measure the complicated relationship between the policy and actual economic,social or environmental status quo.The practice of OECD and its member countries have proved that it is simple,convenient and available when handling with relative problems,so more and more countries and researchers invest intellectual resources and capitals into the research.After the reform and opening up,China's per capita arable land resources are scarce and arable land occupation turns to more and more serious and economic development is the main driving forces.In order to deeply analyze and understand the correlations between farmland occupation and GDP growth and promote the setup of new farmland protection management system,the theory and analysis method of "decoupling" is introduced from the fields of agricultural production and trade policy and environment policy.This paper tries to analyze the relationship between arable land occupation and GDP growth to formulate the new management system.The main ideas are:1) to analyze,compare and summarize completely the protection policies of arable land at different stages of GDP growth at home and overseas;2) to set up decoupling indicators between arable land occupation(mainly including the farmland used for construction and farmland for agricultural structure readjustment) and GDP growth(mainly including the second and third gross domestic product) based on the system of DPR(driving force-pressure-response),then to analyze their correlations and changes of time-series(if possible,the changes of space-series should also be analyzed) by applying the index systems;3) to set up an new management system of protection of arable land based on the above work;4) to select,confirm and analyze respectively some provincial,regional and prefectural-level typical areas(if some areas are compared with each other,the same administrative level is necessary;if just one area is the analysis objective,a time-series data is also required).After completing above four steps,the effects of applying decoupling indicators between arable land occupation and GDP growth and management system and polices will be validated.Typical modes of arable land occupation and GDP growth in all kinds of areas in China may be revealed,and theoretical level of research and practice on arable land's protection could be advanced. |
| |
| Keywords: | Arable land occupation GDP growth Decoupling indicators Management system Empirical analysis |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
| 点击此处可从《资源科学》浏览原始摘要信息 |
| 点击此处可从《资源科学》下载免费的PDF全文 |
|
