我国香港同胞在京旅游人数的统计分析 |
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引用本文: | 许景玲,梁鑫,黄琪芳.我国香港同胞在京旅游人数的统计分析[J].大众科技,2012,14(4):278-280. |
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作者姓名: | 许景玲 梁鑫 黄琪芳 |
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作者单位: | 广西师范大学数学科学学院,广西桂林,541004 |
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基金项目: | 广西教育厅科研项目,广西师范大学青年骨干教师基金资助,广西师范大学教改项目资助 |
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摘 要: | 文章利用时间序列方法,通过对2001年至2008年各月的香港同胞在京旅游人数建立一个时间序列模型,并对该模型进行适应性检验,再利用该模型对未来我国香港同胞在京旅游人数的发展趋势进行预测,并提出相关的建议。
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关 键 词: | 香港同胞 旅游人数 时间序列分析 乘积季节模型 |
Statistical Analysis of The Tourist Population of Hong Kong Compatriots in Beijing |
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Abstract: | This Paper Mainly Adopts The Time Series Multiplicative Seasonal Model,build a Time Series Model of Hong Kong Compatriots Number of Tourism In Beijing From 2001 to 2008,And We Also Makes The Proof-test of Applicability to The Model,The Trend of Development of The Hong Kong Compatriots Number of Tourism in Beijing Was Forecast by Using The Model,And Make Relevant Recommendations. |
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Keywords: | Hong Kong Compatriots the Tourist Population Time Series Analysis Multiplicative Seasonal Model |
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