| 中国经济增长与能源消费关系的实证研究——基于协整分析和状态空间模型的估计 |
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| 引用本文： | 李晓嘉,刘鹏.中国经济增长与能源消费关系的实证研究——基于协整分析和状态空间模型的估计[J].软科学,2009,23(8):61-64. |
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| 作者姓名： | 李晓嘉 刘鹏 |
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| 作者单位： | 对外经济贸易大学公共管理学院,北京,100029 |
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| 摘 要： | 对中国经济增长与能源消费相关数据的协整分析表明,二者之间存在着长期的均衡关系,中国过去的经济增长是诱致的能源需求型经济。为了进一步考察中国能源利用效率问题,采用变系数状态空间模型对能源消费弹性进行了估计,表明了我国能源效率不断提升的过程。
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| 关 键 词： | 经济增长 能源消费 状态空间模型 |
An Empirical Analysis for China's Energy Consumption and Economic Growth——Based on Cointegration Analysis and State Space Model |
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| LI Xiao-jia,LIU Peng.An Empirical Analysis for China's Energy Consumption and Economic Growth——Based on Cointegration Analysis and State Space Model[J].Soft Science,2009,23(8):61-64. |
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| Authors: | LI Xiao-jia LIU Peng |
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| Abstract: | In this paper,with the cointegration and Granger causality test of China's economic data,a long-term relationship between energy consumption and economic growth is found.It shows that our past economic growth is induced by energy requirement.And,estimating a State Space Model indicates the increasing efficiency of energy consumption of China in recent years. |
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| Keywords: | economic growth energy consumption state space model |
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