| 基于面板数据的我国人口城市化与经济增长动态比较研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 聂华林,韩燕,钱力.基于面板数据的我国人口城市化与经济增长动态比较研究[J].软科学,2012,26(5):27-31. |
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| 作者姓名： | 聂华林 韩燕 钱力 |
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| 作者单位： | 兰州大学 经济学院,兰州,730000 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家社会科学基金项目，兰州大学中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 从面板数据的角度,对我国1989～2010年人口城市化水平与经济增长之间的关系进行动态比较研究,结果发现我国31个省市人口城市化水平与经济增长之间关系都表现为显著地正相关。总体来看,二者之间存在长期稳定的协整关系,但对不同地区来说,人口城市化水平对经济增长的促进作用差异较大,促进作用最大的为东部地区,依次为中部、东北和西部。误差修正模型显示人口城市化水平对经济增长的短期影响并不如长期影响明显。因此,贯彻落实户籍制度改革,有利于提高人口城市化水平,促进经济协调增长,消除区域间经济差距。
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| 关 键 词： | 人口城市化水平 经济增长 误差修正 面板数据 协整检验 |
The Dynamic Comparison between the Level of Urbanization and the Economic Growth Based on Panel Data |
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| NIE Hua-lin
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HAN Yan
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QIAN Li.The Dynamic Comparison between the Level of Urbanization and the Economic Growth Based on Panel Data[J].Soft Science,2012,26(5):27-31. |
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| Authors: | NIE Hua-lin HAN Yan QIAN Li |
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| Institution: | (School of Economics,Lanzhou University,Lanzhou 730000) |
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| Abstract: | From the perspective of the panel data,this article conducts dynamic comparative study of the level of urbanization and economic growth from 1989 to 2010.It finds that the relationship between the level of urbanization and economic growth performance is significantly positive in China’s 31 provinces and cities.Overall,there is the long-term stable cointegration,but for different regions,the promoting effects of the level of urbanization are different,of which the largest is the eastern region,followed by central,northeast and west.Error correction model shows that short-term impact of the level of urbanization is less obvious than long-term effects.Therefore,implementing the reform of household registration system will help improve the level of urbanization,promote coordinated economic growth,and eliminate the economic disparities between regions. |
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| Keywords: | thf level of urbanization economic growth error correction panel data cointegration tests |
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