| 中国产业结构调整对碳强度影响的空间计量研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 冯彦,祝凌云,张大红.中国产业结构调整对碳强度影响的空间计量研究[J].软科学,2017(7):11-15. |
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| 作者姓名： | 冯彦 祝凌云 张大红 |
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| 作者单位： | 北京林业大学 经济管理学院,北京,100083 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家林业局2014年林业重大问题调研课题(ZDWT201415) |
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| 摘 要： | 基于SDM运用Matlab和Geoda测度细化产业结构对我国30个省碳强度的影响,结果表明我国碳强度存在显著的空间自相关性、集聚性和路径依赖性.其中对碳强度的影响,交通业(0.899,最为显著)>工业(0.372)>建筑业(0.316)>第一产业(0.083)>商业(-0.246),整体上看,产业结构调整有利于降低碳强度;同时现今碳强度更易受交通业、工业和建筑业的正影响和商业的负影响.因此降低此三类产业占比,增加商业占比,并配合新型节能环保技术,有利于降低本地区和周围地区的碳强度.
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| 关 键 词： | 碳强度 产业结构 SDM 空间自相关性 |
Spatial and Econometric Analysis of Effect of Industrial Structure Adjustment on Carbon Intensity in China |
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| FENG Yan,ZHU Ling-yun,ZHANG Da-hong.Spatial and Econometric Analysis of Effect of Industrial Structure Adjustment on Carbon Intensity in China[J].Soft Science,2017(7):11-15. |
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| Authors: | FENG Yan ZHU Ling-yun ZHANG Da-hong |
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| Abstract: | Based on spatial durbin model, this paper measures the influence of refined industrial structure on carbon intensity in Chinese 30 provinces via using Matlab and Geoda.The result of which demonstrates carbon intensity has significant spatial spillover effects, clustering and path dependence.In addition, the influence of transportation on carbon intensity is most obvious (0.864) > industry(0.372) > construction(0.316) >primary industry(0.083) >business(-0.246).Overall, adjustment of industrial structure is beneficial to reduce carbon intensity, andnowadays carbon intensity is more likely to be affected by transportation, industrial and construction and reduced by business, thereby reducing proportion of three industry, increasing proportion of business, using energy-saving and energy protection technologies, can reduce carbon intensity effectively. |
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| Keywords: | carbon intensity industrial structure SDM spatial autocorrelation |
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