| 中国能源消费增长趋势分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 张雷,蔡国田.中国能源消费增长趋势分析[J].中国软科学,2006(11):1-6. |
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| 作者姓名： | 张雷 蔡国田 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 中国科学院,地理科学与资源研究所,北京,100101
2. 中国科学院,地理科学与资源研究所,北京,100101;中国科学院,研究生院,北京,100039 |
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| 摘 要： | 中国是世界上最大的能源消费国家之一，中国的能源消费及其增长趋势不仅决定着本国能源生产和供应格局的变化，而且也深刻地影响着全球能源生产和供应格局的变化。增长趋势分析表明，中国能源消费行为总体上保持着与其他国家相一致的特征。然而，最近10年来中国的能源消费行为出现某种失常。究其原因，最大可能在于统计数据的失真。
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| 关 键 词： | 中国能源消费 结构多元化 统计失真 |
| 文章编号： | 1002-9753(2006)11-0001-06 |
| 收稿时间： | 2006-06-29 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006-10-13 |
The General Feature of China's Energy Consumption and It's Problem |
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| ZHANG Lei,CAI Guo-tian.The General Feature of China''s Energy Consumption and It''s Problem[J].China Soft Science,2006(11):1-6. |
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| Authors: | ZHANG Lei CAI Guo-tian |
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| Institution: | 1. Institute of Geographical Sciences and Natural Resources, Beijing, 100101, 2. Graduate University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100039, China |
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| Abstract: | China is one of the largest energy consumers in the world.Energy use in China has aroused much concern both the domestically and the interuationaly.Our intent is to place the changing pattern of energy use in China in a lengthy time perspective of the national industrialization.A larger context is combined with a cross-sectional approach -China plus five other countries-and addressed through the general model,namely the industrial structure-energy use interconnection model.The findings are salutary.First,they suggest that a diversified economic structure is consist- ent with diminished intensity in energy use.Secondly,the facts with a down-up demand trend in China's energy use in last 10 years imply that a diversified energy structure promotes reductions in energy intensity is out of use.Finally,one is led inevitably to the conclusion that the unexpected changed pattern in China's energy use in recent years could be sourced most probably by the statistical mistakes. |
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| Keywords: | China intensified energy consume structural diversification statistical mistakes |
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