| 环云南地区入境旅游与经济发展的空间溢出及门槛效应 |
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| 引用本文： | 范嘉琪.环云南地区入境旅游与经济发展的空间溢出及门槛效应[J].宜春学院学报,2020(2):42-49. |
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| 作者姓名： | 范嘉琪 |
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| 作者单位： | 宜春市人才交流中心 |
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| 摘 要： | 随着云南成为我国入境旅游中心,本文基于2006-2017年云、贵、川、渝、藏、桂六个地区面板数据,综合运用空间计量回归和门槛面板回归模型深入分析了六个地区入境旅游的空间相关性、空间外溢和门槛效应入境旅游对经济发展存在着非线性的空间入境旅游收入增长、入境旅游人数增长对经济增长有着显著的门槛效应。随着增长率提高,其对经济发展的弹性在减少。因此,对于经济发展水平相对低的云南、贵州,可以通过发展入境旅游来促进其经济快速增长,但对于四川、贵州、西藏,由于门槛效应的存在,需要优化旅游产品和旅游空间结构,以促进入境旅游对经济发展的作用。
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| 关 键 词： | 入境旅游 经济增长 空间相关性 空间溢出 门槛效应 |
The Spatial Spillover and Threshold Effect of Inbound Tourism and Economic Development around Yunnan |
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| FAN Jia-qi.The Spatial Spillover and Threshold Effect of Inbound Tourism and Economic Development around Yunnan[J].Journal of Yichun University,2020(2):42-49. |
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| Authors: | FAN Jia-qi |
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| Institution: | (Yichun Centre for Talent Exchange,Yichun 336000,China) |
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| Abstract: | As yunnan becomes the center of China’s inbound tourism,Based on six regional panel data including Yunnan,Guizhou,Sichuan,Chongqing,Tibet,Guangxi from 2006 to 2017,the Spatial correlation,the space spillover and threshold featrues of the inbound tourism are explored by space panel regression and threshold panel regression model.At the same time,the inbound tourism income’growth and the inbound tourists’growth have some threshold features for the economic development,and the elastic of the economic development will go trend lower with the rising of the inbound tourism income growth rate and the inbound tourists growth rate.Therefore,for relatively low economic development level of yunnan,guizhou,the inbound tourism can been developmed to promote the rapid economic growth,but for sichuan,guizhou,Tibet,due to the existence of the threshold effect,the tourism products and tourism spatial structure are optimized to accelerate the development of the inbound tourism to economic. |
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| Keywords: | inbound tourism economic growth Spatial correlation space spillover threshold effect |
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