| 集聚效应下工业结构演变与区域经济发展——基于空间面板杜宾模型的实证研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 周雁南,廉 睿.集聚效应下工业结构演变与区域经济发展——基于空间面板杜宾模型的实证研究[J].唐山学院学报,2015,28(6):84-89. |
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| 作者姓名： | 周雁南 廉 睿 |
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| 作者单位： | 厦门大学 经济学院,福建 厦门 361005,中央民族大学 管理学院,北京 100081 |
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| 摘 要： | 应用空间计量模型对我国10年来工业发展的空间集聚度进行计算,考察工业结构演变对经济增长的影响。与此同时,使用产业结构和投资结构两个指标全面衡量区域间工业结构的演变进程,并测算和评价工业固定资产投资的合理结构。通过研究得出如下结论:目前我国区域间工业的集聚效应依然存在,但是有分散的趋势,工业的集聚中心逐步由沿海向内陆转移。空间杜宾模型的检验结果表明,工业结构对区域经济增长起到了明显的促进作用,且存在显著为正的溢出效应,而工业固定资产结构则未起到正向的作用。
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| 关 键 词： | 工业结构 区域经济 空间杜宾模型 |
| 收稿时间： | 2015/7/2 0:00:00 |
On Evolution of Industrial Structure and Development of Regional Economy from the Perspective of Agglomeration Effect: an Empirical Research Based on the Spatial Dubin Model |
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| ZHOU Yan-nan and LIAN Rui.On Evolution of Industrial Structure and Development of Regional Economy from the Perspective of Agglomeration Effect: an Empirical Research Based on the Spatial Dubin Model[J].Journal of Tangshan College,2015,28(6):84-89. |
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| Authors: | ZHOU Yan-nan and LIAN Rui |
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| Institution: | College of Economics, Xiamen University, Xiamen 361005, China and College of Management,Minzu University, Beijing 100081, China |
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| Abstract: | The authors of this paper calculated the spatial agglomeration degree of the industrial development of the past ten years in China, based on the spatial econometric model, measured the evolution of regional industrial structure through the indicators of industrial structure and investment structure, and estimated the reasonable structure of industrial fixed assets investment. e research shows that there still exists the agglomeration effect of regional industry in China, but with the tendency to dispersion, and that the agglomeration center has gradually shifted from coastal areas to inland regions. d the results of the test through the space Du model show that industrial structure plays a significant role in promoting regional economic growth, with a significant positive spillover effect, while the structure of industrial fixed assets does not perform a positive role. |
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