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1.
逆威布尔分布是可靠性理论中常见的一种失效分布,可广泛应用于化学化工,电子电气,机械材料领域.对于逆威布尔分布的尺度参数和形状参数的极大似然估计是研究威布尔分布模型问题的重要方法.由于考虑到普通迭代估计过程的不稳定性,本文利用修正牛顿迭代法给出了完全样本情况下广义逆威布尔分布多个参数的极大似然估计,然后通过随机模拟来验证估计的合理性.  相似文献   

2.
结合火电厂耐热钢在运行过程中发生疲劳损伤失效问题,提出一个概率疲劳损伤服从三参数威布尔分布时的形状参数m、尺度参度α和位置参数N0确定的新方法。由于用解析法计算分布参数的复杂性以及用图解法(也称概率纸法)估计时的精度较低等原因,从而使三参数威布尔分布在概率疲劳损伤分析中的应用受到一定限制。本文论述了一种利用图解法与优化法相结合的方法求解其三个分布参数,用它对几种耐热钢疲劳试验的寿命数据进行了三参数威布尔分布拟会,其结果是相当好的,表明提出的确定威布尔分布三参数新方法简捷实用。  相似文献   

3.
威布尔分布的参数估计   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
威布尔分布是常见的寿命分布之一。对其密度函数中参数的估计方法有很多,常见的有矩法极大法Menond方法等。本文将利用最小二乘的思想给出定数结尾试验下双参数威布尔分布的参数估计的一种计算公式,以列表的方式给出计算时所需要的部分顺序统计量的期望,并通过模拟给出一个例子来说明该方法的可行性。  相似文献   

4.
运用综合参数及非参数估计方法对服从威布尔分布的寿命试验的下一个失效时间的预测问题进行了详细的讨论,这对寿命服从威布尔分布的产品的寿命试验有指导意义.  相似文献   

5.
在寿命服从指数分布的基础上,将一般威布尔分布简化成指数分布,给出了恒加应力加速寿命试验中产品失效率的Bayes估计和寿命服从威布尔分布的产品失效时间的预测方法,并给出了相应的数值模拟。  相似文献   

6.
为了研究钢纤维自密实混凝土的弯曲疲劳性能,采用威布尔函数对疲劳寿命进行了概率分析,建立了在不同失效概率下的P-S-N疲劳方程,对钢纤维自密实混凝土的疲劳性能进行了分析。结果表明,钢纤维自密实混凝土的疲劳寿命符合两参数威布尔分布,与普通混凝土相比,钢纤维自密实混凝土的疲劳性能明显增强。  相似文献   

7.
基于传统的伪寿命分布、退化量分布、随机系数分布这三种方法进行的高长寿命产品可靠性评估,往往会产生较大偏差.为了较精确的估计出高长寿命产品的寿命可靠度,通过分析产品的退化失效机理,利用威布尔过程拟合产品相邻单位退化量的时间间隔变化趋势,可以由产品的试验数据外推出产品的寿命,进而可以较精确地预计产品的剩余寿命等可靠性指标.  相似文献   

8.
在熵损失函数下,得到了两参数指数-威布尔分布形状参数的Bayes估计和可容许估计,并讨论了一类(cT+d)-1形式估计的可容许性和不可容许性.  相似文献   

9.
利用自适应舍选抽样和Gibbs抽样对CE模型下Weibull分布场合恒定应力加速寿命试验进行了Bayes估计.最后通过模拟实例表明该估计是有效的.  相似文献   

10.
本文假设产品失效率服从威布尔分布,产品的寿命分布有一些具体的特征.加速强化试验省时,但不省钱,我们的目的是要找到合适的测试参数(时间,压力水平)以减少测试的总成本.本文得到了强化试验测试时间的界限.  相似文献   

11.
Constant-step stress accelerated life test of Vacuum Fluorescent Display (VFD) was conducted with increased cathode temperature. Statistical analysis was done by applying Weibull distribution for describing the life, and Least Square Method (LSM) for estimating Weibull parameters. Self-designed special software was used to predict the VFD life. Numerical results showed that the average life of VFD is over 30000 h, that the VFD life follows Weibull distribution, and that the life-stress relationship satisfies linear Arrhenius equation completely. Accurate calculation of the key parameter enabled rapid estimation of VFD life.  相似文献   

12.
在不同运行条件下对某变频冷冻水泵的性能参数进行了测试,获得了不同转速下该变频冷冻水泵机组的总效率(全效率)、变频器效率、电机和水泵的综合效率、变频冷冻水泵的水力效率比和容积效率比,总结得出了该变频冷冻水泵各效率随转速变化的规律。同时指出,在计算采用压差控制的变频冷冻水泵的能耗时,不应将变频冷冻水泵的总效率当作常数,不同运行控制方式对变频冷冻水泵效率有着不同的影响。  相似文献   

13.
加速寿命试验(ALT)是用加大试验应力来缩短试验周期的一种基本寿命试验方法,其目的在于:以较低的试验代价(例如试验样本、试验周期等)获取具有足够精度的寿命信息.序降应力加速寿命试验是一种更高效的加速寿命试验方法.该文利用积累失效模型,得出了序降应力加速寿命试验在对数正态分布场合的时间折算公式和分布函数.  相似文献   

14.
Based on the nonlinear continuum damage model(CDM) developed by Chaboche,a modified model for high cycle fatigue of TC4 alloy was proposed.Unsymmetrical cycle fatigue tests were conducted on rod specimens at room temperature.Then the material parameters needed in the CDM were obtained by the fatigue tests,and the stress distribution of the specimen was calculated by FE method.Compared with the linear damage model(LDM),the damage results and the life prediction of the CDM show a better agreement with the test and they are more precise than the LDM.By applying the CDM developed in this study to the life prediction of aeroengine blades,it is concluded that the root is the most dangerous region of the whole blade and the shortest life is 58 211 cycles.Finally,the Cox proportional hazard model of survival analysis was applied to the analysis of the fatigue reliability.The Cox model takes the covariates into consideration,which include diameter,weight,mean stress and tensile strength.The result shows that the mean stress is the only factor that accelerates the fracture process.  相似文献   

15.
Bonnet macaques that had been reared from 3 to 6 months of age in experimental environments that appeared to adversely affect their ability to separate from mother to explore a novel physical environment in dyadic assessments shortly after the rearing experience were tested during late adolescence, an average of 2.5 years later, under conditions of increasing unfamiliarity and complexity of the social milieu. 6 monkeys, the low-foraging-demand (LFD) group, were reared by mothers having constant easy access to food during the experimental rearing period. Another 6 monkeys, the variable-foraging-demand (VFD) group, were reared by mothers having a foraging task that varied between easy and difficult in 2-week blocks during the experimental rearing period. Although no treatment group differences were evident during the initial rearing period, during subsequent social challenges VFD monkeys exhibited a diminished capacity for affiliative social engagement relative to LFD monkeys and were socially subordinate to LFD monkeys.  相似文献   

16.
12 bonnet macaque (Macaca radiata) mother-infant dyads were studied. For 14 weeks, beginning when the infants were a mean age of 11.2 weeks, the dyads were housed and observed under different foraging-demand conditions for the mothers: 6 dyads in a low-foraging-demand (LFD) condition and 6 dyads in a variable-foraging-demand (VFD) conditions. For VFD mothers, demand varied between low and high in 2-week blocks. Differences between the LFD and VFD groups were minimal during this period; there was, however, more maternal grooming and shorter separation bouts in the VFD group than in the LFD group. The dyads were then challenged by brief introductions to a novel environment. The challenge revealed that frequency of breaking dyadic contact and levels of play were significantly lower for the VFD infants than for the LFD infants, perhaps as a consequence of less secure attachment.  相似文献   

17.
Fatigue tests were conducted on tapered plain concrete prism specimens under triaxial constant-amplitude tension-compression cyclic loading. The low stress of the cyclic loading was taken as 0.2fc and the upper stress ranged from 0.20ft to 0.65ft. Three constant lateral pressures were 0.1fc, 0.2fc and 0.3fc respectively. Based on the results, the three-stage evolution nile of the fatigue stiffness, maximttm(minimum) longitudinal strain and damage were analyzed, and a unified S-N curve to calculate fatigue strength factors was worked out. The results show that the fatigue strength and fatigue life under triaxial constant-amplitude tension-compression cyclic loading are smaller than those under uniaxial fatigue condition. Moreover, the secondary strain creep rate is related to the fatigue life, a formula for describing their relation was derived. The investigation of this paper can provide information for the fatigue design of concrete structures.  相似文献   

18.
本文对指数场合下定时截尾竞争失效产品恒加试验的优化设计进行了研究,并得到了优化设计的方案.推广了D.S.Bai,Y.R.Chun(1991)的结果.  相似文献   

19.
Contrast tests were carried out to study the fatigue performance of the butt joints treated by ultrasonic peening, aiming at the improvement of ultrasonic peening treatment(UPT) on welded joints of a new material. The material is a new generation of fine grain and high purity SS400 steel that has the same ingredients as the traditional low carbon steel. The specimens are in two different states:welded and ultrasonic peening conditions. The corresponding fatigue testing data were analyzed according to the regulation of the statistical method for fatigue life of the welded joints established by International Institute of Welding(IIW). Welding residual stress was considered in two different ways: the constant stress ratio R = 0.5 and the Ohta method. The nominalstress-number (σ-N) curves were corrected because of the different plate thickness compared to the standard and because there was no mismatch or angular deformation. The results indicated that: 1 ) Compared with the welded specimens, when the stress range was 200 MPa, the fatigue life of the SS400 steel specimens treated by ultrasonic peening is prolonged by over 58 times, and the fatigue strength FAT corresponding to 106 cycles is increased by about 66%; 2) As for the SS400 butt joint ( single side welding double sides molding) , after being treated by UPT, the nominal S-N curve (m = 10) of FAT 100 MPa(R =0.5) should be used for fatigue design. The standard S-N curves of FAT 100 MPa (R = 0.5, m = 10) could be used for fatigue design of the SS400 steel butt joints treated by ultrasonic peening.  相似文献   

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