共查询到20条相似文献，搜索用时 93 毫秒
1.
大学生就业信心指数的预测可以在一定程度上了解大学生就业信心的变化趋势.因此,文章建立了基于L1范数的诱导有序加权几何平均(IOWGA)算子的组合预测模型及预测有效度评价指标体系,以山东省德州市某高校2000—2012年大学生就业信心指数数据,对大学生就业信心指数中的全局信心指数进行分析预测,并与采用GM(1,N)预测模型、单指数平滑预测模型和ARMAX预测模型分析结果从预测精度、预测模型有效性上进行比较.结果表明:基于L1范数的IOWGA算子组合预测模型比其他三种单项预测方法预测方法精度更高且为优性组合预测,本模型对大学生就业信心指数预测是可行的,可以用于对大学生就业信心的定量研究. 相似文献
2.
3.
本文利用作者所在高校的"疫情期间大学生就业信心的影响因素"调研统计数据,从社会性别视角对两性大学生的就业信心及影响因素进行实证分析。结果显示:大学生就业信心整体偏低,男生就业信心明显高于女生且存在显著性差异。人力资本、求职准备、学科理解、家庭背景均对就业信心有显著影响并存在显著性别差异。为提升大学生信心和就业质量,高校需要根据影响因素和性别差异采取针对性的教育措施和就业指导,女大学生应积累人力资本并提升抗压能力。 相似文献
4.
大学生就业信心指数的预测可以在一定程度上了解大学生就业信心的变化趋势.因此,文章建立了基于L1范数的诱导有序加权几何平均（IOWGA）算子的组合预测模型及预测有效度评价指标体系,以山东省德州市某高校2000—2012年大学生就业信心指数数据,对大学生就业信心指数中的全局信心指数进行分析预测,并与采用GM（1,N）预测模型、单指数平滑预测模型和ARMAX预测模型分析结果从预测精度、预测模型有效性上进行比较.结果表明：基于L1范数的IOWGA算子组合预测模型比其他三种单项预测方法预测方法精度更高且为优性组合预测,本模型对大学生就业信心指数预测是可行的,可以用于对大学生就业信心的定量研究. 相似文献
5.
时广军 《上海教育评估研究》2014,3(1):57-60
高等教育大众化是社会发展的一大趋势,在帮助更多学子有机会享用高等教育资源的同时,也使得毕业生不得不面对巨大的就业压力,导致部分毕业生在这种挑战下丧失信心。本文从人力资本理论角度,分析当前的就业形势,以及毕业生信心受损的原因,并基于人力资本的特征提出自己的理解和改进建议,以便更多高校学生树立就业信心。 相似文献
6.
近年来高校就业形势日益严峻．毕业生压力越来越大。本文通过对湖州师范学院800名大学生的问卷调查,利用SOLServer2005强大的数据处理功能挖掘大学生在校期间的学习行为与就业信心之间的关联．为学校在组织学科竞赛、提供有利学习条件和戒除网瘾三个方面给予切实有效的决策支持,以便在校内营造良好的学习氛围,激发大学生通过刻苦学习的行为取得良好的学习效果,增强就业信心．从而顺利实现就业。 相似文献
7.
本文以湖南省经济比较发达的长沙、株洲和湘潭地区城镇职工作为调查对象,选择“年龄”、“文化程度”和“经济状况”为标志的不同职业群体,对男女职工的就业信心指数进行了深入的性别差异实证研究,并就进一步提高女性就业信心指数提出了相应的政策措施。 相似文献
8.
9.
对浙江省13所高职院校学生的抽样调查表明,浙江省高职生的就业信心明显不足。对国家就业促进政策、社会用人情况、学校教学管理、目前和将来的就业形势、求职自信心等方面,高职生的评价并不高,尤其是对就业形势的评价,普遍认为比较严峻,而在求职自信心方面则相对较高。 相似文献
10.
11.
本文通过对消费者信心指数的分析,首先建立干预模型并进行了检验,然后根据此干预模型得出将来消费者信心指数的预报值,从而为未来经济政策的制定与调整以及进行定量分析提供理论依据. 相似文献
12.
Bruce Thompson 《Psychology in the schools》2007,44(5):423-432
The present article provides a primer on (a) effect sizes, (b) confidence intervals, and (c) confidence intervals for effect sizes. Additionally, various admonitions for reformed statistical practice are presented. For example, a very important implication of the realization that there are dozens of effect size statistics is that authors must explicitly tell readers what effect sizes they are reporting. With respect to confidence intervals, when interpreting a 95% interval, we should never say that we are 95% confident that our interval captures the estimated population parameter. It is explained that effect sizes should be reported even for statistically nonsignificant effects. And, most importantly of all, it is emphasized that effect sizes should not be interpreted using Cohen's benchmarks. Instead, we ought to interpret our effects in direct and explicit comparison against the effects in the related prior literature. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Psychol Schs 44: 423–432, 2007. 相似文献
13.
Most theories predict that when people indicate that they are highly confident they are producing their strongest responses.
Hence, if such a high confidence response is in error it should be overwritten only with great difficulty. In contrast to
this prediction, we have found that people easily correct erroneous responses to general information questions endorsed as
correct with high-confidence, so long as the correct answer is given as feedback. Three potential explanations for this unexpected
hypercorrection effect are summarized. The explanation that is tested here, in two experiments, is that after a person commits
a high-confidence error the correct answer feedback, being surprising or unexpected, is given more attention than is accorded
to the feedback to low-confidence errors. This enhanced attentional capture leads to better memory. In both experiments, a
tone detection task was presented concurrently with the corrective feedback to assess the attentional capture of feedback
stimuli. In both, tone detection was selectively impaired during the feedback to high confidence errors. It was also negatively
related to final performance, indicating that the attention not devoted to the tone detection was effectively engaged by the
corrective feedback. These data support the attentional explanation of the high-confidence hypercorrection effect. 相似文献
14.
15.
16.
漆调兰 《甘肃广播电视大学学报》2013,(4):39-41
理论自信源白干理论形成、理论创新和理论自觉,是党的十八大在总结了马克思主义中国化的历史经验,概括了中国特色社会主义理论体系发展进程和规律的前提下提出的新命题。认真学习马克思主义经典著作包括中国共产党人的经典著作,对于在高校全面贯彻落实十八大提出的“推动中国特色社会主义理论体系进教材进课堂进头脑”这一战略任务是非常必要的,是高校马克思主义大众化的前提,是推进高校马克思主义大众化的根本保证。 相似文献
17.
Howard H. Higgins 《Quarterly Journal of Speech》2013,99(4):466-477
ZEN IN THE ART OF RHETORIC: AN INQUIRY INTO COHERENCE. By Mark Lawrence McPhail. New York: State University of New York Press. 1996; pp. v + 220. $19.95 AFTER POSTMODERNISM: RECONSTRUCTING IDEOLOGY CRITIQUE. Ed. By Herbert W. Simons and Michael Billig. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage Pub. 1994; pp. x + 258. $69.95; paper $19.95 PRIME‐TIME FEMINISM: TELEVISION, MEDIA CULTURE, AND THE WOMEN'S MOVEMENT SINCE 1970. By Bonnie J. Dow. Philadelphia: University of Pennsylvania Press, 1996; pp. xxvi + 224. $39.95; paper $17.50. THE CULTURAL PRISON: DISCOURSE, PRISONERS, AND PUNISHMENT. By John M. Sloop. Tuscaloosa: University of Alabama Press, 1996; pp. viii + 244. $39.95. BECOMING CITIZENS IN THE AGE OF TELEVISION: HOW AMERICANS CHALLENGED THE MEDIA AND SEIZED INITIATIVE DURING THE IRAN‐CONTRA DEBATE. By David P. Thelen. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1996. pp. x + 244. $55.00; paper $14.95. RAPE ON TRIAL: HOW THE MASS MEDIA CONSTRUCT LEGAL REFORM AND SOCIAL CHANGE. By Lisa M. Cuklanz. Philadelphia: University of Pennsylvania Press, 1996; pp. vii + 135. $28.95; paper $12.95. LAW'S STORIES: NARRATIVE AND RHETORIC IN THE LAW. Edited by Peter Brooks and Paul Gewirtz. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press, 1996; pp. vii + 290. $26.00. POST‐REALISM: THE RHETORICAL TURN IN INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS. Edited by Francis A. Beer and Robert Hariman. East Lansing: Michigan State University Press, 1996; pp. vii + 429. $35.95; paper $24.95. DEFINING SCIENCE: A RHETORIC OF DEMARCATION. By Charles Alan Taylor. Madison: University of Wisconsin Press, 1996; pp vii + 292. $53.00; paper $22.95. IM/PARTIAL SCIENCE: GENDER IDEOLOGY IN MOLECULAR BIOLOGY. By Bonnie B. Spanier. Bloomington: Indiana University Press 1995; pp. xi + 207. $29.95; paper $14.95. KENNETH BURKE: RHETORIC, SUBJECTIVITY, POSTMODERNISM. By Robert Wess. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 1996; pp. xxi + 262. $54.95; paper $18.95. THE GIFT OF DEATH. By Jacques Derrida. Trans. David Wills. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1995; $18.95. AUGUSTINE AND THE LIMITS OF POLITICS. By Jean Bethke Elshtain. Notre Dame, IN: University of Notre Dame Press, 1995; pp. xiv + 143. $21.95. RHETORIC, SOPHISTRY, PRAGMATISM. Edited by Steven Mailloux. New York: Cambridge University Press, 1995; pp.xii + 251. $54.95; paper $16.95. THE RHETORIC OF REASON: WRITING AND THE ATTRACTIONS OF ARGUMENT. By James Crosswhite. Madison: The University of Wisconsin Press, 1996. pp. xii + 329. $58.00; paper $24.95 ESSAYS ON ARISTOTLE'S RHETORIC. Edited by Amélie Oksenberg Rorty. Philosophical Traditions 6. Berkeley, Los Angeles, and London: University of California Press, 1996; pp. xxiii + 441. $50.00; paper $19.95. RHETORIC AS PEDAGOGY: ITS HISTORY, PHILOSOPHY, AND PRACTICE; ESSAYS IN HONOR OF JAMES J. MURPHY. Edited by Winifred Bryan Homer and Michael Leff. Mahwah, NJ: Lawrence Earlbaum Associates, 1995; pp. xvi + 337. $69.95; paper $34.50. VOICING AMERICA: LANGUAGE, LITERARY FORM, AND THE ORIGINS OF THE UNITED STATES. By Christopher Looby. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1996; pp. xi + 287. $29.95. THE LANGUAGE OF DEMOCRACY: POLITICAL RHETORIC IN THE UNITED STATES AND BRITAIN, 1790–1900. By Andrew W. Robertson. Ithaca and London: Cornell University Press, 1995; pp. xv + 264. $35.00. THE CONUNDRUM OF CLASS: PUBLIC DISCOURSE ON THE SOCIAL ORDER IN AMERICA. By Martin J. Burke. Chicago &; London: The University of Chicago Press, 1995; pp. xvii + 303. $47.50; paper $16.95. “IN A PERILOUS HOUR”: THE PUBLIC ADDRESS OFJOHN F. KENNEDY. By Steven R. Goldzwig and George N. Dionisopoulos. Westport: Greenwood Publishing, 1995; pp. xv + 219. $59.95. THE END OF VICTORY CULTURE: COLD WAR AMERICA AND THE DISILLUSIONING OF A GENERATION. By Tom Engelhardt. New York: Basic Books, 1995; pp. iii + 351. $29.95; paper, $14.00. I'VE GOT THE LIGHT OF FREEDOM: THE ORGANIZING TRADITION AND THE MISSISSIPPI FREEDOM STRUGGLE. By Charles M. Payne. Berkeley: University of California Press, 1995; pp. xiii + 525. $28.00; paper $16.95. AFRICAN‐AMERICAN ORATORS: A BIO‐CRITICAL SOURCEBOOK. Edited by Richard W. Leeman. Westport, CT: Greenwood Press, 1996; pp. xxv + 452. $95.00. 相似文献
18.
The use of cartoons, songs, and quotes can be a useful way to engage students in discussion and learning key concepts about quantifying the uncertainty in statistical estimates. 相似文献
19.
20.