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首次组合运用卫星云异常和长波辐射热异常方法,依据2012年10月四川西部地区的云异常和热异常,较为成功地对2013年4月20日雅安芦山7.0级地震做出了中期预测,并于2012年10月22日向中国地震局提交了正式预测卡片.2013年1月18日在紧邻理塘的白玉县发生5.4级地震,4月20日在雅安芦山发生7.0级地震.事实证明,这次预测震级准确,时间推迟了3个月,距离误差若按中心点计算为250 km,若按边缘计算为50 km.若能结合其他观测数据,则有可能进一步缩小误差.8月份在我们划定的区域周边又发生了迪庆5.9级地震和西藏6.1级地震.雅安7.0级地震的日期和2012年10月19日雅安4.2级小震的发震日期呈明显的对应关系,显示其可能受某种天文因素的控制.以上发现有利于对今后的地震做出更准确的预测. 相似文献
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依据卫星热异常和仪器观测数据异常,于2013年11月做出东经102°~104°,北纬25°~27°附近将发生6~7级地震,时间在3个月内的预测.2014年4月根据卫星热异常和云异常,继续确认了震级和地点,但是对地震的时间预测上不好把握.2014年8月3日昭通市鲁甸县发生6.5级地震,证实我们预测的震级和地点准确,时间在上年度正确,短期月份错误.通过分析地震日期,发现鲁甸地震和汶川地震有一定的相似性. 相似文献
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以2010年4月4日墨西哥发生的Mw 7.2级地震为背景,分别利用NOAA和AIUB提供的两类总电子含量(Total Electron Content,TEC)数据进行时空和空间分析。在沿用"滑动均值-标准差"法的基础上,提出并利用震中TEC峰值和低值区间进行震前异常分析。研究发现:①本次地震的峰值区间为每天的9:00~12:45,低值区间为每天的18:30~22:15,4月2日出现峰值区间震前的最低点,4月3日出现低值区间的震前最高点。②无论是基于NOAA还是AIUB的数据分析均发现,低值区间表现的异常更为明显,峰值区间异常不明显或无异常。③本次地震震前出现明显的TEC异常,4月2~4日的TEC异常应该和本次地震有关。④由于AIUB数据精度的原因,较难利用此数据发现本次地震震前TEC异常。 相似文献
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《南阳师范学院学报》2016,(9):57-61
利用全球电离层数据分析了2011年3月11日日本MW9.0级地震前的电离层变化,选取了震中网格震前70天的电离层数据,采用移动平均值法计算得到TEC数据的平均值、标准差、上限和下限,超出上下限阈值的认为是异常,然后利用DST指数排除掉由地磁活动引起的电离层异常,认为震前3天即3月8日的电离层异常增强有可能和地震相关.通过分析3月8日与7日06时的电离层空间变化,发现电离层增强区域主要集中在震中南部几千千米范围内.而后计算了震中周边10个网格的电离层变化值,发现在震中周边几千千米范围内,只有震中网格的变幅最大,为推测发震地点提供了可能. 相似文献
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2012年4月23日卫星云图上显示意大利地区上空出现了云异常．其特征表现为云的边界清晰,呈直线分布,并且云系不受风力影响,稳定不动,在整个欧洲地区只有意大利地区的云系表现出此类异常．因此认为该地区的地质活动增强。于是作出意大利在1个月内要发生5．5—6．0级地震的预测．2012年5月20日意大利北部发生6．0级地震．证实该预测是准确的．研究还表明,2012年5月6日意大利出现了同样的异常云系,这些异常的时空特征与Mogi Doughnut假说吻合． 相似文献
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热红外遥感是一项探测地热资源、植被覆盖、农作物估产等生态环境评价研究的重要技术.使用Landsat 7/ETM+热红外波段(band6),基于单通道算法,对长春地区地表温度应用反演,从而为研究该区地热资源、土地覆盖、城市热岛效应及环境评价提供可靠的依据.研究表明,热红外遥感能够有效探测到地表温度异常,而引起其异常的原因有待我们就一步验证和深入研究. 相似文献
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研究了2010年10月24日周口4.7级地震前的电离层总电子浓度变化以及向外长波辐射变化,认为电离层变化异常值出现在6月17日,在河南南部出现一个电离层低值区,向外长波辐射异常值出现在10月22日至23日,表现为震中区附近的向外长波辐射值为全国最高值,同时稳定分布在该区两天时间.研究认为向外长波辐射异常能够比较准确地确定震中位置,与电离层异常相结合,二者能够比较准确地预测震级和震中,但是对于时间的预测还存在有困难. 相似文献
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《南阳师范学院学报》2016,(6):31-34
依据云异常我们成功预测了世界各地的多次地震,包括2012年5月意大利的6.0级地震,据此提出了"断层云"概念.本文对意大利断层云的研究时间扩展到3年(2011—2013年),3年内断层云总共出现了21次,然后筛选了意大利所有大于4.7级的地震共10次.最后通过假设各种不同的云异常和地震情况,分析了它们之间可能的关联性.结果显示当二者的时间间隔定在2345天时,10次地震中的8次地震可以通过云异常被预测出来.同时泊松随机分布模型也显示云异常出现率(AAR)与地震发生率(EOR)都要比偶然情况下的值高很多.该方法证明云异常现象与意大利地震之间存在着关联性,因此可以作为一种预测地震的可行方法. 相似文献
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京津冀地区是当前我国大气污染最严重的地区.为了形成覆盖式监测能力,使用韩国GOCI静止卫星数据开发了PM_(2.5)高时空分辨率遥感系统,使用卫星气溶胶光学厚度和地面PM_(2.5)进行融合得到小时级PM_(2.5)遥感产品,对观测大气颗粒物空间动态变化具有先天优势.经过京津冀地区的独立地面站点检验,具备小时级高时间分辨率、2 km高空间分辨率的PM_(2.5)遥感产品和地面相关系数R2为0.69,且基于天基遥感数据的观测具有较好的独立性和客观性.长时间遥感观测结果表明,该系统可用于分析京津冀地区PM_(2.5)的空间分布规律. 相似文献
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An improved cluster thermal time constant (CTTC) and surface thermal time constant (STTC) numerical model was introduced,which took into account the effect of vegetation coverage and modified the expression of net longwave radiation of the canyon layer.In the case study the model was used to calculate the air temperature variation at downtown of Tianjin City.The relative error between the calculated and measured air temperatures was less than 3%.The tendency of air temperature variation was predicted when the building aspect ratio,vegetation rate,and wind speed changed respectively.It is demonstrated that when the aspect ratio of a building with south-north orientation increased,the heat island intensity at day time was mitigated; however,it became worse after sunset.The vegetation coverage rate and wind speed both had negative relationship with the urban heat island intensity. 相似文献
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为了研究锂离子电池充（放）电过程中热性能特点,更好地进行热管理分析,基于 Fluent 软件建立锂离子电池组三维瞬态散热模型并对温度场进行仿真计算,分析不同条件对电池及模组散热性能的影响。结果表明：减小充（放）电倍率和增大表面对流换热系数可改善电池因温度过高而导致的热失控。进口风速从 0.5 m/s增至 6 m/s 且 4C 充电终止时,电池组最高温度、平均温度、温差、一致性系数降低了 33.57 K、21.23 K、9.84 K 和 2.82%,但泵功耗增加了 0.35 W。进风温度从 298.15 K 降至 283.15 K 且 4C 充电终止时,电池组最高、平均温度降低 12.8 K 和 13.92 K,温差与一致性系数升高 1.86 K 和 0.76%。即增大风速,电池组温升和温度均匀性得到改善;降低进风温度,可控制电池组温升,但温度均匀性抑制效果变差。 相似文献
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为了保障风机的正常运行,提出基于自编码（Autoencoder,AE）的风机故障检测方法。依据法国风机ENGIE公开的风速传感器数据,建立欠完备自编码模型（UAE）、去噪自编码模型（DAE）与收缩编码器（CAE）模型,对风机风速传感器数据进行编码和解码,计算重构误差并设定阈值进行故障检测。用多风机风速传感器数据建立PCA模型并与去噪编码器模型对比。根据ROC曲线与AUC值对比,得出欠完备自编码模型、去噪自编码模型、收缩编码器模型均可用于风机异常检测,且收缩编码器效果最好的结论。PCA模型也可用于故障检测,同时多风机故障检测效果高于单一风机。 相似文献
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Li-wen ZHANG Jing-feng HUANG Rui-fang GUO Xin-xing LI Wen-bo SUN Xiu-zhen WANG 《Journal of Zhejiang University. Science. B》2013,14(2):144-161
The accumulation of thermal time usually represents the local heat resources to drive crop growth.Maps of temperature-based agro-meteorological indices are commonly generated by the spatial interpolation of data collected from meteorological stations with coarse geographic continuity.To solve the critical problems of estimating air temperature(T a) and filling in missing pixels due to cloudy and low-quality images in growing degree days(GDDs) calculation from remotely sensed data,a novel spatio-temporal algorithm for T a estimation from Terra and Aqua moderate resolution imaging spectroradiometer(MODIS) data was proposed.This is a preliminary study to calculate heat accumulation,expressed in accumulative growing degree days(AGDDs) above 10 ℃,from reconstructed T a based on MODIS land surface temperature(LST) data.The verification results of maximum T a,minimum T a,GDD,and AGDD from MODIS-derived data to meteorological calculation were all satisfied with high correlations over 0.01 significant levels.Overall,MODIS-derived AGDD was slightly underestimated with almost 10% relative error.However,the feasibility of employing AGDD anomaly maps to characterize the 2001-2010 spatio-temporal variability of heat accumulation and estimating the 2011 heat accumulation distribution using only MODIS data was finally demonstrated in the current paper.Our study may supply a novel way to calculate AGDD in heat-related study concerning crop growth monitoring,agricultural climatic regionalization,and agro-meteorological disaster detection at the regional scale. 相似文献
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Study on Potassium Fluoaluminate Eutectic Flux 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
In this study, Noeolok eutectic flux, used widely in the process of the brazing of aluminum and its alloy, was prepared by the reaction between AI(OH)3/KOH resolution and HF. A series of KF-A1F3 euteetic productions at various reaction temperatures were prepared. The melting points of the products were measured by differential thermal analysis (DTA), and the composites were characterized by X-ray diffraction (XRD).The results suggest that the temperature control is important to produce an ideal flux consisting of K2A1F5 , H2O and KA1F4 , with a low melting point of 560 ℃ ,which is suitable for the brazing of aluminum and its alloy as the aluminum fluxes. 相似文献
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Field investigation on effects of wheat-straw/corn-stalk mulch on ecological environment of upland crop farmland 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
This work systematically investigates the effects of wheat-straw/corn-stalk mulch on the ecological environment in upland crops (winter wheat, summer corn) field from 1997 to 1998. With and without mulch soil moisture distribution, water demand, day and night variation of soil temperature, weeds control, crop yields, water and soil conservation, as well as improvement of soil texture were experimentally investigated. The optimal mulch rate for both water saving and yield-increase was determined. Ineffective interplant evaporation can be turned into effective transpiration of leaf by application of wheat-straw/corn-stalk mulch, which enhances the utility factor of soil moisture and reduces irrigation norm, and may also regulate soil temperature, increase soil fertility, and improve soil texture after being returned to the field. Wheat-straw/corn-stalk mulch inhibits evaporation of moisture so that accumulation of salinity near the soil surface is prevented, and thus ameliorates salinization of land. In the region of severe soil erosion, mulch is used to cover land so as to forestall hydraulic and wind erosion of the soil. 相似文献
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The study on Traditional Chinese Medicine (TCM)by the technology and method of thermal science is a new cut-in point in interdisciplinary science, and its purpose is to study the tongue inspection in TCM from the view of the bio-heat transfer theory. In this paper human tongues were studied with the infrared thermal imaging technology. And the characteristic relationship between temperature distribution and age, tongue color as well as infrared thermal tongue image concerning the characteristic of viscera was analyzed by the experimental data, which confirms that the change in temperature distribution in different positions of the tongue is related to the diseases of different internal organs of the body. From a series of invasive experiments in animals, the blood perfusion rate was measured with the equipment of CBI-8000 Doppler Blood Flow Meter and MP-100 Physiologic Research System for the first time and the characteristic relationship curve between the temperature on the surface of the tongue and the blood perfusion rate was obtained. From the experiments the temperature on the surface of the tongue reflects objectively the tongue color which is influenced by the blood perfusion rate. This will help to develop some new cognition in the theory of TCM. 相似文献
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An improved test rig providing both the heat and cold source was used to perform thermal response test(TRT), and the line source model was used for data analysis. The principle of determining the temperature difference between the inlet and outlet of test well can keep the heating or cooling rate constant, along with a reduced size of test rig. Among the influencial factors of the line source model, the temperature difference was determined as the most important, which agreed with the test results. When the gravel was taken as the backfill material, the soil thermal conductivities of heating and cooling at the test place were 1.883 W/(m·K) and 1.754 W/(m·K), respectively, and the deviation of TRT between heating and cooling soil was 6.8%. In the case of fine sand, the thermal conductivities of heating and cooling were 1.541 W/(m·K) and 1.486 W/(m·K), respectively, and the corresponding deviation was 6%. It was also concluded that different velocities of water had less influence on TRT than the temperature difference. 相似文献
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Based on the surface energy balance model which is widely used abroad, a temperature and humidity field coupling model of conservatory soil without crop vegetation in full illumination was established. Considering the relatively closed environment in conservatory, weak solar radiation and little surface evaporation of soil, the daily variation of water content in different soil layers may be neglected, then the temperature and humidity field coupling model was simplified to a one-dimensional thermal diffusion model. The simplified model and the temperature and humidity field coupling model adopted the same computational method of soil physical parameters and discrete format of heat diffusion differential equations, and were applied to the continuous simulation of temperature field in conservatory soil without crop vegetation in full illumination. Through the comparison between simulation results and experimental data, the precision of the simplified model was verified. The typical rule of soil heat flux variation in a 24 h cycle was also obtained. 相似文献