| 能源发展趋势与能源科技发展方向的几点思考 |
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| 引用本文： | 金之钧,白振瑞,杨雷.能源发展趋势与能源科技发展方向的几点思考[J].中国科学院院刊,2020,35(5):576-582. |
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| 作者姓名： | 金之钧 白振瑞 杨雷 |
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| 作者单位： | 北京大学 能源研究院 北京 100871;页岩油气富集机理与有效开发国家重点实验室 北京 100083;中国石油化工股份有限公司石油勘探开发研究院 北京 100083 |
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| 摘 要： | 能源科技的发展将深刻地影响着未来能源格局,因此能源发展前景预测对国家政策制定和企业战略谋划都意义重大。文章在对能源现状与发展趋势分析的基础上,总结了能源转型多元化、低碳化、分散化、数字化和全球化的"五化"特征,指出了2016年以来出现的中美经贸摩擦、低油价和人工智能技术应用等方面的新变化特征,并就能源领域未来科技发展趋势提出了低成本技术、信息技术和颠覆性技术3个方面的思考,以期为我国积极应对能源转型,布局未来能源科技提供点滴参考。
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| 关 键 词： | 能源转型 技术为王 低成本技术 信息技术 颠覆性技术 |
| 收稿时间： | 2020/5/9 0:00:00 |
Thinking on General Trends of Energy Development and Directions of Energy Science and Technology |
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| JIN Zhijun,BAI Zhenrui,YANG Lei.Thinking on General Trends of Energy Development and Directions of Energy Science and Technology[J].Bulletin of the Chinese Academy of Sciences,2020,35(5):576-582. |
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| Authors: | JIN Zhijun BAI Zhenrui YANG Lei |
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| Institution: | Institute of Energy, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China;State Key Laboratory of Shale Oil and Gas Enrichment Mechanisms and Effective Development, Beijing 100083, China;SINOPEC Petroleum Exploration and Production Research Institute, Beijing 100083, China |
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| Abstract: | The development of energy science and technology has profound impacts on the future energy pattern, and the outlook of energy development is of great significance to national policy-making and corporate strategic planning. Based on the analysis of the current situation and development trend of energy sector, this study summarizes the five characteristics of energy transformation: diversification, decarbonization, decentralization, digitalization, and globalization, and points out three new features in respect of the trade war between China and US, low oil price, and application of artificial intelligence technology that emerged since 2016. A few thoughts concerning low-cost technology, information technology, and subversive technology are presented for analyzing the development trend of science and technology in energy sector, actively responding to energy transformation and formulating development strategy of energy science and technology. |
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| Keywords: | energy transformation technology being king low-cost technology information technology (IT) subversive technology |
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