基于系统动态学方法的弱信号生命周期建模与仿真     

董尹  刘千里  宋继伟 《图书情报工作》2019,63(13):75-84

[目的/意义]为增强弱信号的内涵研究，对其全生命周期过程下的各阶段要素以及要素间的联系进行探寻，以期获得一定程度上的理论贡献，同时也为相关组织在开展弱信号管理实践时提供理论指导。[方法/过程]在对弱信号概念研究现状进行梳理的基础上，结合意义构建理论给出了弱信号概念界定。随后，通过与信息生命周期、新兴议题生命周期进行类比，提出弱信号生命周期理念。进而采用系统动态学方法开展系统思考，使用因果回路图进行系统建模，运用存量流量图进行仿真模拟。[结果/结论]弱信号生命周期包含4个阶段：侦测、关联、传递、抉择，相应的系统动态学模型所具备的现实性得到验证，且通过情景模拟确认了4个关键辅助变量：外界噪声干扰程度、弱信号分析效率、组织内相互信任程度、决策者信任程度。在整体研究的基础上，给出弱信号管理过程中可能会遇到的障碍以及应对策略。  相似文献   

面向新生的“微视频+代入式体验”信息素养教育研究     

洪跃 《图书情报工作》2019,63(20):88-95

[目的/意义]基于建构主义学习理论，借鉴翻转课堂先进理念，以提高个人信息素养能力的初学者为主要教育研究对象，调研分析其个性特征、信息行为和教育方式偏好。[方法/过程]通过调研分析，总结教育方式与学生需求之间的矛盾成因，提出面向新生的"微视频+代入式体验"信息素养教育创新模式，着重分析模式特点、构建策略和实施方案，并提出可行性组织策略。[结果/结论]"微视频+代入式体验"信息素养教育新模式，综合运用微视频所特有的视觉冲击力，克服教师语言抽象化的不足，同时通过代入式情境体验，完成知识吸收内化、高层次思维认知，有效提升学生的信息素养综合能力。  相似文献   

基于STAR-CCM+的汽车挡风玻璃除霜性能提升的仿真分析与研究     

胡忠文 《苏州市职业大学学报》2021,(1)

采用计算流体动力学的方法,利用STAR-CCM+软件对某一车型挡风玻璃除霜性能进行数值模拟分析。通过对出风口格栅进行调整,改变了暖风气流与挡风玻璃之间碰撞角的大小与碰撞点的位置,优化了挡风玻璃表面暖风气流的分布,提升了除霜性能,为汽车除霜风道的设计和改善车辆除霜性能提供了参考。  相似文献   

古德哈特定律的博弈分析     

林海 《保定师专学报》2003,16(2):76-78

从博弈论的角度分析论证古德哈特定律的正确性,指出所谓稳定关系的失效不过是从一种均衡走向另一种均衡.这就给根据经济行为选择政策时提出了一个新的要求要考虑经济行为中不同主体的博弈行为,才会制定出行之有效的政策.  相似文献   

大学生助学贷款的博弈分析   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

李晓宁 《山西财经大学学报(高等教育版)》2007,10(1):68-71

助学贷款本是一项利国利民的政策,但这项政策却遭受了空前的信用危机。文章通过对学生和银行的行为进行博弈分析,认为纯粹靠道德等内在诚信来约束学生的还贷是无用的,必须建立起一套完整的外在诚信约束机制。文章还设计了助学贷款的“三维”被迫诚信机制,以明确助学贷款中政府、银行、贫困生家庭和借款学生的权责和义务。  相似文献   

幼儿园游戏活动形式特征及结构探析     

杨静 《集美大学学报(教育科学版》2006,7(3):88-91

幼儿园游戏活动形式各异,既相对独立又相互联系,体现出自由游戏自由度高、区域游戏选择性大、主题游戏综合性强;活动结构具有由低到高发展、活动层次具有逐级递进、活动内容具有交叉互补的鲜明特征;在此基础上,有目的、有意识地整合各种游戏活动,形成游戏形式自然地贯穿于幼儿一日活动的基本结构,实现游戏促进幼儿发展的整体功效。  相似文献   

Development and validation of the Perceived Game-Specific Soccer Competence Scale     

Hannele Forsman  Arto Gråstén  Minna Blomqvist  Keith Davids  Jarmo Liukkonen  Niilo Konttinen 《Journal of sports sciences》2016,34(14):1319-1327

ABSTRACT

The objective of this study was to create a valid, self-reported, game-specific soccer competence scale. A structural model of perceived competence, performance measures and motivation was tested as the basis for the scale. A total of 1321 soccer players (261 females, 1060 males) ranging from 12 to 15 years (13.4 ± 1.0 years) participated in the study. They completed the Perceived Game-Specific Soccer Competence Scale (PGSSCS), self-assessments of tactical skills and motivation, as well as technical and speed and agility tests. Results of factor analyses, tests of internal consistency and correlations between PGSSCS subscales, performance measures and motivation supported the reliability and validity of the PGSSCS. The scale can be considered a suitable instrument to assess perceived game-specific competence among young soccer players.  相似文献   

Timescales for exploratory tactical behaviour in football small-sided games     

Angel Ric  Robert Hristovski  Bruno Gonçalves  Lorena Torres  Jaime Sampaio  Carlota Torrents 《Journal of sports sciences》2016,34(18):1723-1730

The aim of this study was to identify the dynamics of tactical behaviour emerging on different timescales in football small-sided games and to quantify short- and long-term exploratory behaviour according to the number of opponents. Two teams of four professional male footballers played small-sided games against two different teams with a variable number of opponents (3, 5 and 7). Data were collected using a combination of systematic observation and a non-differential global positioning system (15 Hz). The temporal diversity and structural flexibility of the players were determined by calculating the dynamic overlap order parameter q, entropy and trapping strength. Analysis of the exploratory dynamics revealed two different timescales, forming a different metastable landscape of action for each constraint. Fast dynamics lasted on average a few seconds and consisted of changes in tactical patterns. The long timescale corresponded to the shared tasks of offence and defence lasting tens of seconds. The players’ tactical diversity decreased with an increasing number of opponents, especially in defence. Manipulating numerical imbalance is likely to promote changes in the diversity, unpredictability and flexibility of tactical solutions. The fact that the temporally nested structure of constraints shaped the emergence of tactical behaviour provides a new rationale for practice task design. The manipulation of numerical imbalance on the timescale of a few tens of seconds, on which the exploratory behaviour of players saturates, may help coaches to optimise the exploratory efficiency of the small-sided games.  相似文献   

Incremental training intensities increases loads on the lower back of elite female rowers     

Erica M. Buckeridge  Anthony M.J. Bull  Alison H. McGregor 《Journal of sports sciences》2016,34(4):369-378

Lumbar-pelvic kinematics change in response to increasing rowing stroke rates, but little is known about the effect of incremental stroke rates on changes in joint kinetics and their implications for injury. The purpose of this study was to quantify the effects of incremental rowing intensities on lower limb and lumbar-pelvic kinetics. Twelve female rowers performed an incremental test on a rowing ergometer. Kinematic data of rowers’ ankle, knee, hip and lumbar-pelvic joints, as well as external forces at the handle, seat and foot-stretchers of the rowing machine were recorded. Inter-segmental moments and forces were calculated using inverse dynamics and were compared across stroke rates using repeated measures ANOVA. Rowers exhibited increases in peak ankle and L5/S1 extensor moments, reductions in peak knee moments and no change in peak hip moments, with respect to stroke rate. Large shear and compressive forces were seen at L5/S1 and increased with stroke rate (P < 0.05). This coincided with increased levels of lumbar-pelvic flexion. High levels of lumbar-pelvic loading at higher stroke rates have implications with respect to injury and indicated that technique was declining, leading to increased lumbar-pelvic flexion. Such changes are not advantageous to performance and can potentially increase the risk of developing injuries.  相似文献   

天启年间宫女休闲活动考          下载免费PDF全文

杨红  殷姿 《体育科研》2016,(1):85-87，92

本文主要采用历史文献法,以明宫词为主,明史及明代野史杂记为辅,考辨明代天启年间,后宫不同地位的宫女平日里的休闲活动。宫女游戏是女性体育的组成部分,笔者在大量文献中发现了些许新材料,以期填补女性体育史中的空白。  相似文献