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为开展城市空气质量业务预报,新近发展了一新的城市尺度气象和空气质量耦合数值预报模式系统,用该系统对重庆、天津、广州和济南市的 2 4小时空气质量作了大量实际预报试验。预报与野外实测的浓度 气象场之间比较表明:预报与实测浓度(SO2 、NO2 和PM1 0 )和风速比值总体平均为 1 0 2± 0 3 6和 1 0 8± 0 3 8;预报与实测的风向差在 6 7 5°以内的概率可超过 80 %;预报与实测温度差在 1 0℃以内的概率可超过 75 %;2 4小时降水量的预报准确率大于 80 %;日均API的预报准确率可达 80 %以上;预报与实测浓度 气象场之间有好的一致性 相似文献
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在2003年3月至5月间，基于MRF全球谱模式提供的侧边界，采用MM5有限区域嵌套模式进行预报时效为15天的较高分辨率的区域中期预报试验，并对试验结果进行检验。结果表明：嵌套的区域模式的中期天气预报明显的优于全球模式，对于两周内主要的晴雨过程、冷空气和转折性天气具有一定的预报能力。 相似文献
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将GRAPES模式通过嵌套降尺度、垂直网格加密等精细化处理手段和边界层参数化方案的优选,为华南沿海风电场提供精细风场预报。气象模式分别采用6km×6km和1km×1km水平分辨率,并配置不同分辨率的地形和下垫面资料。边界层参数化方案分别采用GRAPES自带的MRF方案和MYJ方案针对不同天气类型进行预报。将预报结果与测风塔同期观测资料进行比较评估,结果表明:模式分辨率的提高并结合较精细的地形和下垫面资料,能有效提高风速的预报精度;通过精细化处理,GRAPES模式对风力发电的各风速段预报效果都有明显改善;模式边界层参数化方案的选取与地形、主导风向和大气稳定度的配置密切相关,通过对天气形势的预判断和集合预报结果的后处理,能够有效提高风速的预报精度。 相似文献
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详细介绍了一个新的大样本集合预报系统. 为了减小ENSO(厄尔尼诺-南方涛动)预报中的预报不确定性,该集合预报系统首先基于一个中等复杂程度的耦合模式,利用集合卡尔曼滤波资料同化方法同化有效的海洋观测资料为集合预报系统提供集合初始场;同时,一个发展的用于12个月预报的一阶线性马尔可夫(Markov)随机误差模式被嵌套到集合预报系统中来模拟模式不确定性. 基于1992年11月~2008年10月100个样本的集合回报试验,从确定性预报技巧和概率预报技巧2个方面对集合预报系统的预报水平进行了检验. 该集合预报方法能够很有效地将传统的确定性预报扩展到概率预报领域,且检验结果表明,预报样本均值的预报水平要优于单一的确定性预报. 对于概率预报而言,集合预报样本能够很好地跟随观测的变化,并且能够提供单纯确定性预报所不能够提供的额外信息. 相似文献
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《中国科学院院刊(英文版)》2008,22(1):13-14
Aresearch project on the greenhouse cultivation of Swertia chirayita Buch Ham, a popular herbal drug used by the Tibetan people against liver and gallbladder diseases, recently passed the acceptance check by a panel of experts under the auspices of Qinghai Provincial S＆T Bureau. The feat was accomplished by researchers from the Lanzhoubased CAS Northwest Institute of Plateau Biology. 相似文献
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The research into the origins of domestic animals is of significance not only for understanding their development per se but also for making clear the human society evolution. Although there are evidences to show that pigs were independently domesticated in a variety of places throughout the world the detailed scenario of the origin dispersal of domestic pigs in East Asia remains unclear.…… 《中国科学院院刊(英文版)》2008,22(1):7-7
The research into the origins of domestic animals is of significance not only for understanding their development per se, but also for making clear the human society evolution. Although there are evidences to show that pigs were independently domesticated in a variety of places throughout the world, the detailed scenario of the origin and dispersal of domestic pigs in East Asia remains unclear. 相似文献
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Among the galaxy of research development organizations in northwest Beijing's Zhongguancun district known as China's Silicon Valley two are especially well-known to IT researchers: Microsoft Research Asia 《中国科学院院刊(英文版)》2008,22(1):47-49
Among the galaxy of research and development organizations in northwest Beijing＇s Zhongguancun district, known as China＇s Silicon Valley, two are especially well-known to IT researchers： Microsoft Research Asia （MSRA）, and, within a few blocks on the other side of the street, the CAS Institute of Automation （CASIA）. While most people in Chinese scientific organizations strive to move to a large foreign counterpart, Dr. Stan Z. Li （LI Ziqing） moves against the stream. 相似文献
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《中国科学院院刊(英文版)》2008,22(1):2-3
CAS should stick to the principle of rendering service to, and giving impetus for, the development of China＇s science enterprise by making S＆T innovations, said CAS President LU Yongxiang. The CAS president made the remarks in a recent talk to communicate the gist of the winter session of the Party＇s Leading-member Group at CAS, which was held from 7 to 11 January in Beijing. 相似文献
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《中国科学院院刊(英文版)》2008,22(1)
With great care, Dr. ZHOU Zhonghe takes out a package wrapped by cotton tissue from a drawer and says: "This is the gem of our collections: the fossil of a bird that lived 125 million years ago!" Then, pointing at a tiny mound, he explains: "Look, this is the claw and that is the head. It was in the egg shell and ready to hatch ... The species fell into a family of waterside inhabitants." 相似文献
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《中国科学院院刊(英文版)》2008,22(1):58-58
As a key component of the national initiative for basic S＆T data and infrastructure development, a nationwide survey on the lake water quality, volume and bio-resources has recently been kicked off. The move marks the systematic implementation of the secondround investigation of the country＇s lacustrine resources. 相似文献
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Bats the only mammals known to possess the real ability to fly have fascinated zoologists for a long time with their long-distance migration. How do they find their way home from an altitude of kilometers above sea level where their stunt of ultrasonic echolocation does not work?…… 《中国科学院院刊(英文版)》2008,22(1):3-4
Bats, the only mammals known to possess the real ability to fly, have fascinated zoologists for a long time with their long-distance migration. How do they find their way home from an altitude of kilometers above sea level, where their stunt of ultrasonic echolocation does not work？ Recent discoveries supported the theory that bats might be able to use magnetic clues to figure out their own position,just like what birds do. However, the latest results from a joint study by a group of researchers from the CAS, East China Normal University and University of Auckland reveal that bats apply an interesting strategy different from the one underlying birds＇ orientation technique, though they both are believed to derive information about their position from the subtle changes in the magnetic field of the Earth. 相似文献
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《中国科学院院刊(英文版)》2014,(3):252-252
<正>On February 12,2014,the international academic journal Cancer Research published an article online entitled"Latency Associated Nuclear Antigen of Kaposi's Sarcoma Associated Herpesvirus Promotes Angiogenesis through Targeting Notch Signaling Effector Hey1",as a result from the research conducted by Prof.LAN Ke’s lab at the Institut Pasteur of Shanghai,Chinese Academy of Sciences. 相似文献
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SONG Jianlan 《中国科学院院刊(英文版)》2014,(3):217-220
<正>Scientists from CAS and the Max Planck Society(MPG)met on May 13,2014 in Beijing to celebrate their four-decade-long ST cooperation and cherished friendship,anticipating further development of the bilateral relation.This partnership formally began four decades ago with a visit paid by then MPG President,Prof.Lüst to CAS,introduced CAS President BAI in his address at the celebration:"During the visit,CAS and MPG confi rmed the basic principles of cooperation,that is equality and mutual benefi ts for both sides,and reached agreement to develop a collaborative partnership."This occurred only two years after the establishment of the diplomatic relations between Germany and China,despite the shadow of the Cold War."Building up a partnership between Germany and 相似文献
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TANG Kun 《中国科学院院刊(英文版)》2014,(2):161-165
<正>The scientifi c goals of the Partner Group are to utilize large scale genomic polymorphism data to make fi ne inferences about human demographic history and various forms of natural selection in the human genome;and to understand the genetic basis and evolutionary mechanisms underlying the common variations in human facial morphology,both within and between populations. 相似文献