基于决策树模型的幼儿超重关键因素研究     

吕文娣  赵广高  付近梅  孙顺利  陈晶  何梓豪  黄婷  胡超  陈晨 《成都体育学院学报》2020,(1):86-93

目的:基于决策树模型探讨引起幼儿超重的关键因素。方法:招募南昌市23所幼儿园5870名3~6岁幼儿,测量身高、体重;问卷调查幼儿身体活动、静坐行为、出生信息,父母的育儿方式、身体形态、锻炼行为和家庭情况,并将其划分为36个变量;采用IBM SPSS modeler软件创建CHAID决策树模型,筛选幼儿超重的关键性因素。结果:CHAID模型准确率达85.23%。CHAID模型结果显示,8个变量与幼儿超重有较强关联性,各变量按重要性排序依次为室外身体活动时间、父亲BMI、母亲BMI、父亲收入、室内身体活动时间、父亲受教育程度、喂养方式、看电视时间。结论:身体活动尤其是室外身体活动与幼儿超重的关系最为密切,父母肥胖程度、父亲收入与受教育情况、喂养方式、静坐行为也是导致幼儿超重的关键性因素。  相似文献   

一种基于模糊语言TOPSIS的应急决策方法     

李海明  虞钢  田崇鑫  尚国彬 《中国科学院大学学报》2020,37(6):814-819

在应急决策过程中，决策信息通常具有犹豫性、模糊性和非对称性，且决策者呈现出直观、快速的语言决策偏好。提出一种基于模糊语言TOPSIS的应急决策方法，使用犹豫模糊语言术语集和二元语义表达式对高度不确定环境下的语言进行处理，提高对犹豫模糊语言信息的提取能力，生成易于理解的语言评估结果，从而辅助决策者进行快速、准确的决策判断。案例证实该方法的可行性与有效性，为解决应急决策问题提供了一种新方法。  相似文献   

基于消费者低碳偏好的供应链碳减排策略     

熊榕  梁承姬  韩婷婷 《上海海事大学学报》2019,40(4):52-60

针对一个占主导地位的零售商和两个制造商(名牌产品和普通产品制造商)组成的二级供应链,考虑制造商之间的定价顺序和低碳偏好消费者对普通产品的接受度,分别构建普通产品制造商采用或不采用减排技术情景下的收益模型,得出各情景下最优零售价格和收益。研究发现:零售商选择销售哪种产品与顾客对普通产品的接受度有关;普通产品制造商的减排策略主要取决于减排成本。在相同减排策略下,若顾客对普通产品接受度较大,制造商同时定价时产品的最优零售价小于等于不同时定价时产品的最优零售价,而同时定价时制造商的最优收益大于等于不同时定价时的最优收益,因此两个制造商应同时定价以获得更大的收益。  相似文献   

2018年世锦赛中日集体花球啦啦操成套创编比较研究     

刘秋蝶  盛小苗 《体育科技文献通报》2020,(6):147-148,163

本文采用文献资料法,视频分析法,专家访谈法,比较分析法和数理统计法等研究方法。对2018年世锦赛中日集体花球啦啦操成套创编进行比较研究,包括三大技术技巧难度(跳步、转体、柔韧与平衡)、连接难度(集体类、技巧类、层次等)、托举与配合(托举、配合)、基本手位等。力图对这些进行定量对比分析、探究,分析中日两国成套动作差异等,以期为国内成套花球舞蹈啦啦队练习的创作和编写提供参考。  相似文献   

Exploring data use practices around Europe: Identifying enablers and barriers     

《Studies in Educational Evaluation》2014

In this article we explore what data-based decision making use looks like in schools in five different countries (United Kingdom, Germany, Poland, Lithuania and the Netherlands). We explore for what purposes data are used in these countries and what the enablers and barriers to data use are. The case study results show that schools in all five countries use data for school development, accountability, and instructional improvement. Also, the schools in the five countries struggle with the same type of problems: e.g. lack of access to high quality data, lack of professional development in using data, and a lack of collaboration around the use of data. Finally, we discuss how some enablers can turn into barriers for effective data use.  相似文献   

Systematic Comparison of Decision Accuracy of Complex Compensatory Decision Rules Combining Multiple Tests in a Higher Education Context          下载免费PDF全文

Iris E. Yocarini  Samantha Bouwmeester  Guus Smeets  Lidia R. Arends 《Educational Measurement》2018,37(3):24-39

This real‐data‐guided simulation study systematically evaluated the decision accuracy of complex decision rules combining multiple tests within different realistic curricula. Specifically, complex decision rules combining conjunctive aspects and compensatory aspects were evaluated. A conjunctive aspect requires a minimum level of performance, whereas a compensatory aspect requires an average level of performance. Simulations were performed to obtain students' true and observed score distributions and to manipulate several factors relevant to a higher education curriculum in practice. The results showed that the decision accuracy depends on the conjunctive (required minimum grade) and compensatory (required grade point average) aspects and their combination. Overall, within a complex compensatory decision rule the false negative rate is lower and the false positive rate higher compared to a conjunctive decision rule. For a conjunctive decision rule the reverse is true. Which rule is more accurate also depends on the average test reliability, average test correlation, and the number of reexaminations. This comparison highlights the importance of evaluating decision accuracy in high‐stake decisions, considering both the specific rule as well as the selected measures.  相似文献   

Transformative Education     

L. A. Paul  John Quiggin 《Educational theory》2020,70(5):561-579

Universities aspire to offer students a transformative experience, but rarely spell out the nature of this transformation. In this essay, L. A. Paul and John Quiggin frame the successful university education as transformative in the philosophical sense. They explain the way that a successful college education can be understood as generating an individual conceptual revolution, and thus, as a transformative experience. Education can create epistemically transformative change through the process of developing critical thinking skills, leading to conceptual replacement and the discovery of new intellectual frameworks. This epistemic transformation, if deep enough, scales up into a personal transformation. After explicating the nature and structure of transformative education, Paul and Quiggin show how understanding transformation in terms of personal change and awareness of unawareness clarifies the debate over its value.  相似文献   

多项式模代数在多值逻辑系统中的适应性     

杜芹香  赵俊 《科技通报》1997,13(1):44-47

针对文献［１］中的模代数系统对多值逻辑的适应性定理，指出了多项式模代数系统对于基数为素数幂值逻辑的适应性  相似文献   

组织战略信息系统用户情报行为研究     

成波 《情报科学》2006,24(3):451-454

本文从战略信息系统入手，分析了组织战略决策中的决策者情报行为（竞争情报行为），探讨了战略信息系统对战略决策中决策者情报行为的支持。  相似文献   

决策思维中的价值模式研究     

张彩江  马庆国 《预测》2004,23(6):73-75,37

提出价值分析(VA)、价值寻求分析(VSA)、价值综合集成(VMS)等三个决策价值模式新概念；组成一个完整的决策思维新体系；给出一个VMS的框架。由此，为面向复杂系统问题的决策分析提供了新思路。  相似文献