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1.
李旭  秦耀辰  宁晓菊  张丽君 《资源科学》2014,36(8):1635-1644
入境游客旅游目的地的选择及变化对我国各地区入境旅游市场的开拓及政策制定有重要影响。利用游客集中度、市场集中度等方法分析了1996-2010年我国主要入境旅游客源市场游客的旅游目的地选择及变动,采用亲景度理论分析了入境游客对各类城市和区域的旅游目的地选择偏好,并阐明了入境游客旅游目的地选择对各市场竞争态的影响。结果发现:主要入境游客类型对各类城市和区域旅游目的地选择偏好及变化差异较大,近程客源市场游客的目的地选择偏好程度呈现明显的距离衰减规律,远程客源市场则不明显;日韩为代表等传统客源市场与东南亚、俄罗斯为代表的新兴客源市场游客对城市类型的选择性及变动存在较大的差异;中国主要入境客源市场游客的旅游目的地选择呈现高度的地理和市场集中性,但集中程度逐步下降;入境游客的旅游目的地选择偏好与旅游目的地的客源市场竞争态状况存在着较强的正相关性,入境游客对旅游目的地的选择偏好是影响旅游目的地市场竞争态的主要原因。最后,根据入境游客旅游目的地选择的变化及所引发的竞争态势变动提出相应的入境旅游市场开拓建议。  相似文献   

2.
韩立宁  吴晋峰  王奕祺  任瑞萍 《软科学》2012,26(11):130-134,140
以在北京、上海、广州、西安、桂林、苏州、杭州、成都等地所做的入境外国游客问卷调查统计数据为基础,运用社会网络分析法和卡方检验法对不同性别游客的旅游行为特征进行了对比分析。结果显示:男性和女性入境外国游客到访的目的地范围基本一致,男性和女性入境旅游流集中分布在北京等少数核心旅游城市,女性入境旅游流空间分布相对均衡;与女性相比,男性入境旅游流在我国的转移和扩散更需借助北京、桂林、西安、上海等少数核心旅游城市来完成;男女入境外国游客在旅游动机、出入境口岸、游伴、旅游线路规划者等方面的行为特征具有显著差异;男女入境外国游客在旅游信息获取方式和旅游障碍因素等方面的行为特征没有显著差异。最后,提出国家和各级政府应该注意解决的问题和途径。  相似文献   

3.
2008年爆发的全球金融危机,使全球经济遭受了巨大的冲击。入境旅游一定程度上是世界经济的晴雨表。本文应用ARMA模型、游客集中度系数、亲景度和市场竞争态等定量方法,评估了金融危机对广东省入境旅游经济的总体影响,分析了危机对其入境旅游客源市场结构变化情况。结果表明,金融危机使广东入境游客量和旅游外汇收入比预期正常值分别降低了6%~15%和0.7%~1.1%,入境游客量和减少幅度超过旅游外汇收入减少幅度;危机使入境旅游游客集中度明显提高,增加了广东对少数几个入境客源地的依赖程度;在金融危机背景下,广东省在全国对入境客源的竞争力一定程度上受到了其他旅游目的地的挤压。最后,有针对性地提出了广东拓展入境客源市场的思路和策略。  相似文献   

4.
王金莹  吴晋峰  唐澜  杨新菊 《资源科学》2013,35(8):1701-1709
亚洲入境旅游市场是中国最重要的入境旅游市场,研究亚洲各国入境中国的旅游流在全国的分布和流动规律对于巩固和拓展亚洲入境旅游市场具有重要的现实意义.本文应用社会网络分析方法,分析了亚洲各国入境中国的旅游流的空间分布、转移及网络结构特征,并对旅游目的地城市在网络中的位置特征、网络关系互惠性、子群内外部联系等进行了定量研究.结果显示:①亚洲入境中国的游客中以男性为主,散客居多,青少年比例较高,受教育程度集中在大学及以上学历,同时具有重访率高、停留时间长、选择相同的城市出入境等特点;②亚洲入境旅游流在空间分布上呈现“东密西疏”的格局,存在明显的区域集群现象,集群内目的地城市间旅游流联系更紧密,集群间旅游流对长三角和珠三角集群的依赖性较高;亚洲入境旅游流在中国的转移方向和转移规模均具有不平衡性,全国性的转移与区域性的转移同时存在;③亚洲入境旅游流网络密度低,结构松散.根据旅游目的地的网络位置指标值,将网络节点划分为核心、重要、一般3种类型;④亚洲入境旅游流网络关系互惠性较低,旅游流双向流通能力弱.本研究从整体和宏观联系的视角单独对亚洲入境中国的外国旅游流进行定量研究,是对中国入境旅游流研究的精细化,具有重要的学术价值.  相似文献   

5.
宁志中  杨蕾蕾  钟林生 《资源科学》2014,36(6):1125-1132
本文通过对全国三大陆地边境旅游片区(东北、西北和西南)的入境旅游市场时空动态特征的分析,为我国陆地边境旅游发展战略、产品战略与营销战略的制定提供决策支撑。依据中国边境三大片区(东北、西北、西南)2003-2012年间客源市场的有关数据,尝试采用旅游地理、旅游市场分析原理及数理统计与实证分析等研究方法,从时间和空间两个层面对三大片区入境客源市场的年际变化、空间结构进行了深入系统的分析。研究结果显示:①三大片区的入境旅游在2003-2012年总体上呈现平稳上升的态势,入境客源量均呈现出一种拉伸型的"N"形曲线,且入境游客普遍停留时间较短;②入境客源市场空间分布极不均衡,且呈现地域近邻性特征:东北片区入境客源市场主要集中在以俄罗斯为代表的东北亚国家;西北片区主要集中在以哈萨克斯坦为代表的中亚国家;西南片区则主要集中在以越南为代表的东盟国家。3个片区的国际旅游市场均有待开拓。  相似文献   

6.
本文从投入-产出角度构建了基于两化融合新内涵的评价指标体系,综合运用因子分析、DEABootstrap和协调发展模型的方法,对中国制造业2006—2015年两化融合水平进行多个角度的测度。研究发现,制造业两化融合水平不仅总体呈现了东部高,中西低的静态梯状分布特征,而且东中西三大区域内部的时空分异特征十分明显。此外,中西部地区间的制造业两化融合水平并不存在绝对收敛态势,但是不同区域最终会以不同的收敛速度趋于各自的稳态水平。  相似文献   

7.
1986年~2005年三江平原水田与旱地的转化特征   总被引:13,自引:0,他引:13  
黄妮  刘殿伟  王宗明 《资源科学》2009,31(2):324-329
在遥感和 GIS 技术支持下,通过获取研究区 1986 年、1995 年、2000 年和 2005 年 4 期土地利用数据,从总量态势、相互转化差异、空间格局等三方面分析了3江平原 1986年~2005 年水田与旱地相互转化特征。结果显示: ①三江平原水田和旱地均呈显著增加趋势,水田面积增加的幅度大于旱地,由 1986 年的 57.7×104hm2 增加到 2005 年的 150.9×104hm2,增加面积占三江平原总面积的 13.86%;水田在此期间的动态度为 5.08%,开发速度明显快于旱地;② 水田与旱地的总量变化存在明显的阶段差异,1986年~1995 年,旱地的开发速度是3个时段中最快的,1995 年~ 2000 年是水田面积增长最快的时期,动态度高达 36.49% ;③ 水田与旱地的相互转化特征在不同阶段差异较大,1986年~1995 年为水田转化为旱地最明显的时期,转化面积为 33.1×104hm2;1995年~2000 年为旱地转化为水田幅度最大的时期,转化面积达 63.5×104hm2;④ 水田与旱地相互转化存在明显的区域特征,水田和旱地的重心总体上均表现为向东北偏移的趋势,水田重心的整体偏移量要远大于旱地。  相似文献   

8.
近20年来伊犁新垦区土地利用/覆被变化分析   总被引:3,自引:2,他引:1  
杨阳  张红旗 《资源科学》2009,31(12):2029-2034
本文基于1985年、2000年和2008年3期土地利用数据,对新疆伊犁新垦区土地利用格局时空变化进行了定量研究。结果显示:1985年~2008年间,耕地净增加4.99×104hm2,面积比由38%上升至57%;未利用地增长仅次于耕地,增长面积为1.07×104hm2,水域,林地,建设用地都呈增长趋势;草地为唯一减少的土地利用类型,缩减7.02×104hm2,面积比由49%缩减为36%。通过对土地利用变化格局的分析可以得出,农业开垦是新垦区土地利用方式变化最主要的驱动力因素,草地面积减少是其他土地类型面积增加的主要来源,盐碱地增多和沼泽减少反映了该地区存在因农业开垦而导致的自然环境恶化现象。  相似文献   

9.
基于马尔柯夫模型的涨渡湖流域土地利用变化预测   总被引:12,自引:2,他引:10  
李黔湘  王华斌 《资源科学》2008,30(10):1541-1546
基于TM卫星遥感数据,在GIS 技术支持下,建立了涨渡湖流域土地利用数据库;通过提取湿地信息,运用马尔柯夫链模型对该流域土地利用特别是湿地资源在2010年~2015年的数量变化进行预测;运用GIS软件制作了2015年主要变化类型土地的密度分布图,并从人文因素方面阐述了变化的原因。研究表明:涨渡湖流域到2015年湿地的变化趋势是坑塘较目前增加1 713.4hm2,主要围绕涨渡湖流域分布,水田减少2 083.1hm2,主要分布在涨渡湖流域上部;耕地减少277.8hm2,主要在涨渡湖流域的东部以及南部;建设用地增加544.3hm2,主要分布在涨渡湖的北部。总的趋势是除水库坑塘、滩地、沼泽呈现增加趋势,其余河渠、湖泊和水田均呈现减少态势。非湿地变化趋势是草地、建设用地增加,耕地和林地减少。流域土地利用变化的主要因素是围湖造田和城市化等。  相似文献   

10.
港澳与台湾入境旅游流时间特征对比及成因分析   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
旅游流时间特征研究是旅游地规划、市场营销和景区容量管理的基础。本文以港澳和台湾入境旅游流为研究对象,应用快速样本聚类法、基尼系数、季节变动指数和年际变动指数对1997年-2010年间港澳和台湾入境旅游流的季节性变化和年际变化进行了定量分析和研究,得出以下结论:①港澳和台湾入境旅游流的季节性均不强,其中台湾入境旅游流季节性相对较强。港澳和台湾入境旅游流季节分布模式均呈"四峰"型,但是港澳入境旅游流季节分布曲线呈现明显的"双W"型,台湾入境旅游流季节分布曲线则呈现明显的"双M"型;②港澳和台湾入境旅游市场仍是我国入境旅游市场的主体,但是其占中国入境旅游市场的份额呈下降趋势;③中国入境旅游业的发展受国际旅游环境和国内旅游环境的双重影响,其中外国人入境旅游市场受国际危机事件的影响更显著,港澳和台湾入境旅游市场受中国大陆危机事件的影响更显著;④港澳台入境旅游流季节性变化受自然因素影响不大,主要受制度因素影响。制度因素中的公共假期因素是影响港澳和台湾入境旅游流年内季节变化的主要因素。  相似文献   

11.
Aresearch group led by Prof. ZHAI Qiwei from the Institute for Nutritional Sciences under the CAS Shanghai Institutes for Biological Sciences has discovered that even relatively low doses of resveratrol--a chemical found in the skins of red grapes and in red wine--can improve the sensitivity of mice to the hormone insulin, according to a report in the October,2007 issue of Cell Metabolism. As insulin resistance is often characterized as the most critical factor contributing to the development of Type 2 diabetes, the findings“provide a potential new therapeutic approach for preventing or treating” both conditions, the researchers said.  相似文献   

12.
CAS should stick to the principle of rendering service to, and giving impetus for, the development of China's science enterprise by making S&T innovations, said CAS President LU Yongxiang. The CAS president made the remarks in a recent talk to communicate the gist of the winter session of the Party's Leading-member Group at CAS, which was held from 7 to 11 January in Beijing.  相似文献   

13.
This study examined how students who had no prior experience with videoconferencing would react to the use of videoconferencing as an instructional medium. Students enrolled in seven different courses completed a questionnaire at the beginning of the semester and again at the end of the semester. Students at the origination and remote sites did not differ in their reactions toward videoconferencing but there was a significant difference for gender. Women reacted less favorably to videoconferencing. Compared to the beginning of the semester, students reported significantly less positive attitudes toward taking a course through videoconferencing at the end of the semester. There were no significant differences in students' attitudes toward videoconferencing across courses at the beginning of the semester but there were significant differences across the courses at the end of the semester. The results suggest the need for better preparation for both students and instructors.  相似文献   

14.
With great care, Dr. ZHOU Zhonghe takes out a package wrapped by cotton tissue from a drawer and says: "This is the gem of our collections: the fossil of a bird that lived 125 million years ago!" Then, pointing at a tiny mound, he explains: "Look, this is the claw and that is the head. It was in the egg shell and ready to hatch ... The species fell into a family of waterside inhabitants."  相似文献   

15.
Active biological molecules and functional structures can be fabricated into a bio-mimetic system by using molecular assembly method. Such materials can be used for the drug delivery, disease diagnosis and therapy, and new nanodevice construction.  相似文献   

16.
Ajoint study by Prof. ZHANG Zhibin from the CAS Institute of Zoology and his co-workers from Norway, US and Swiss have indicated that historical outbreaks of migratory locusts in China were associated with cold spells, suggesting that China's projected climate warming could decrease the pest's numbers. The study was published in Proceedings of theNational Academy of Sciences on 17 September, 2007.  相似文献   

17.
A computer-mediated group is a complex entity whose members exchange many types of information via multiple means of communication in pursuit of goals specific to their environment. Over time, they coordinate technical features of media with locally enacted use to achieve a viable working arrangement. To explore this complex interaction, a case study is presented of the social networks of interactions and media use among members of a class of computer-supported distance learners. Results show how group structures associated with project teams dominated who communicated with whom, about what, and via which media over the term, and how media came to occupy their own communication niches: Webboard for diffuse class-wide communication; Internet Relay Chat more to named others but still for general communication across the class; and e-mail primarily for intrateam communication. Face-to-face interaction, occurring only during a short on-campus session, appears to have had a catalytic effect on social and emotional exchanges. Results suggest the need to structure exchanges to balance class-wide sharing of ideas with subgroup interactions that facilitate project completion, and to provide media that support these two modes of interaction.  相似文献   

18.
Electronic data interchange (EDI) provides means for interorganizational communication, creates network externalities, requires an advanced information technology (IT) infrastructure, and relies on standards. In the diffusion of such innovations, institutional involvement is imperative. Such institutions contain governmental agencies, national and global standardization organizations, local government, and nonprofit private organizations like industry associations. The last type of organizations we call intermediating institutions. They intermediate or coordinate ("inscribe") the activities of a group of would-be adopters. Unfortunately, little is known of how these organizations shape the EDI diffusion trajectory. In this article we examine one specific type of intermediating organizations?industry associations?and how they advanced the EDI diffusion process in the grocery sectors of Hong Kong, Denmark and Finland. We identify six institutional measures, placed into a matrix formed by the mode of involvement (influence vs. regulation) and the type of diffusion force (supply push vs. demand pull), that can be mobilized to further the EDI diffusion. Industry associations were found to be active users of all these measures to varying degrees. Their role was critical especially in knowledge building, knowledge deployment, and standard setting. Furthermore, institutional involvement varied due to policy and cultural contingencies and power dependencies.  相似文献   

19.
This essay focuses on universal service and the Internet as means to support social and political participation. The emphasis on access to telecommunications systems in conventional approaches to universal service is contrasted with access to content. A model of the information environment is described that accounts for the roles of content and conduit, both of which are necessary conditions to achieve true access. A method is outlined for employing information indicators to observe or measure the information environment.  相似文献   

20.
The increasing prospects of digital piracy has prompted the perceived need by electronic publishers to adopt technical systems of protection, and governments to reform their copyright laws. This article is a preliminary study of the management of intellectual property by electronic publishers, defined as those involved in the production of online databases, and CD-ROMs. It focuses on three main issues: (1) how electronic publishers view the increasing threat of piracy; (2) the methods of protection employed to protect intellectual property in digital format; and (3) the importance of technological protection of intellectual property in electronic publications. The analysis is based on a sample of 23 UK electronic publishers. The interviews revealed an interesting assortment of protection methods and did not show that technological protection was a preferred way. Instead, the means of protection, in addition to copyright law, comprised niche markets, pricing, trust, bad publicity, and nontechnical and technical means.  相似文献   

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